Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for the March market, driven primarily by the ongoing Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton, with Democrat James Talarico already nominated after winning his March primary. A Paxton win would bar both Talarico and Cornyn from the general election ballot, triggering "Nothing" resolution; recent University of Houston polling from May 5 shows Paxton ahead 48%-45% among likely voters, bolstered by grassroots support and early voting starting May 18. No other conditions met the March 31 deadline: Federal Reserve held rates at 3.5%-3.75% with no cut, President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act passed House but stalled in Senate, and Iranian regime survived U.S.-Israeli strikes without falling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNichts
$340,458 Vol.
$340,458 Vol.
31. März 2026
Nichts
$340,458 Vol.
$340,458 Vol.
31. März 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for the March market, driven primarily by the ongoing Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton, with Democrat James Talarico already nominated after winning his March primary. A Paxton win would bar both Talarico and Cornyn from the general election ballot, triggering "Nothing" resolution; recent University of Houston polling from May 5 shows Paxton ahead 48%-45% among likely voters, bolstered by grassroots support and early voting starting May 18. No other conditions met the March 31 deadline: Federal Reserve held rates at 3.5%-3.75% with no cut, President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act passed House but stalled in Senate, and Iranian regime survived U.S.-Israeli strikes without falling.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volumen
$340,458Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for the March market, driven primarily by the ongoing Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton, with Democrat James Talarico already nominated after winning his March primary. A Paxton win would bar both Talarico and Cornyn from the general election ballot, triggering "Nothing" resolution; recent University of Houston polling from May 5 shows Paxton ahead 48%-45% among likely voters, bolstered by grassroots support and early voting starting May 18. No other conditions met the March 31 deadline: Federal Reserve held rates at 3.5%-3.75% with no cut, President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act passed House but stalled in Senate, and Iranian regime survived U.S.-Israeli strikes without falling.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volumen
$340,458Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60% for the March market, driven primarily by the ongoing Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff on May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and challenger Attorney General Ken Paxton, with Democrat James Talarico already nominated after winning his March primary. A Paxton win would bar both Talarico and Cornyn from the general election ballot, triggering "Nothing" resolution; recent University of Houston polling from May 5 shows Paxton ahead 48%-45% among likely voters, bolstered by grassroots support and early voting starting May 18. No other conditions met the March 31 deadline: Federal Reserve held rates at 3.5%-3.75% with no cut, President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act passed House but stalled in Senate, and Iranian regime survived U.S.-Israeli strikes without falling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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