Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 68% for no major disruptions through December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any triggering events in the first four months since market launch, including President Trump remaining securely in office amid routine administration actions, Xi Jinping's continued leadership without upheaval, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. forces into Iran. The Iranian regime shows no signs of collapse, Bitcoin holds steady between $10,000 and $1 million, and no Senate supermajority projections post-2026 midterms have materialized. Recent weeks feature diplomatic stasis over Taiwan Strait tensions and Ukraine-related NATO rhetoric without breakthroughs, underscoring stability despite lingering risks from November midterms or unforeseen geopolitical shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNichts passiert jemals: 2026
Nichts passiert jemals: 2026
Ja
$550,114 Vol.
$550,114 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$550,114 Vol.
$550,114 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 68% for no major disruptions through December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any triggering events in the first four months since market launch, including President Trump remaining securely in office amid routine administration actions, Xi Jinping's continued leadership without upheaval, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. forces into Iran. The Iranian regime shows no signs of collapse, Bitcoin holds steady between $10,000 and $1 million, and no Senate supermajority projections post-2026 midterms have materialized. Recent weeks feature diplomatic stasis over Taiwan Strait tensions and Ukraine-related NATO rhetoric without breakthroughs, underscoring stability despite lingering risks from November midterms or unforeseen geopolitical shifts.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Markt eröffnet: Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volumen
$550,114Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices "Yes" at 68% for no major disruptions through December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any triggering events in the first four months since market launch, including President Trump remaining securely in office amid routine administration actions, Xi Jinping's continued leadership without upheaval, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. forces into Iran. The Iranian regime shows no signs of collapse, Bitcoin holds steady between $10,000 and $1 million, and no Senate supermajority projections post-2026 midterms have materialized. Recent weeks feature diplomatic stasis over Taiwan Strait tensions and Ukraine-related NATO rhetoric without breakthroughs, underscoring stability despite lingering risks from November midterms or unforeseen geopolitical shifts.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Volumen
$550,114Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 68% for no major disruptions through December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of any triggering events in the first four months since market launch, including President Trump remaining securely in office amid routine administration actions, Xi Jinping's continued leadership without upheaval, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. forces into Iran. The Iranian regime shows no signs of collapse, Bitcoin holds steady between $10,000 and $1 million, and no Senate supermajority projections post-2026 midterms have materialized. Recent weeks feature diplomatic stasis over Taiwan Strait tensions and Ukraine-related NATO rhetoric without breakthroughs, underscoring stability despite lingering risks from November midterms or unforeseen geopolitical shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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