Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10, 2026 announcement, reflecting the central bank's April 29 hold at 2.25% amid March CPI inflation accelerating to 2.4%—above the 2% target—and steady unemployment at 6.7% with modest 14,000 job gains. This positioning stems from the Monetary Policy Report's outlook for moderate GDP growth while adjusting to U.S. tariffs, supporting a restrictive stance without immediate cut or hike signals from Governor Tiff Macklem's recent comments. Key challenges include softer-than-expected April CPI data due May 19 or weakening May employment, potentially tilting odds toward a 25 basis points cut if disinflation resumes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBank of Canada decision in June?
Bank of Canada decision in June?
No change 92%
Increase 6.3%
25 bps decrease <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$18,785 Vol.
$18,785 Vol.
10. Juni 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
92%
Increase
6%
No change 92%
Increase 6.3%
25 bps decrease <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$18,785 Vol.
$18,785 Vol.
10. Juni 2026
50+ bps decrease
$2,536 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$2,916 Vol.
<1%
No change
$7,750 Vol.
92%
Increase
$5,584 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10, 2026 announcement, reflecting the central bank's April 29 hold at 2.25% amid March CPI inflation accelerating to 2.4%—above the 2% target—and steady unemployment at 6.7% with modest 14,000 job gains. This positioning stems from the Monetary Policy Report's outlook for moderate GDP growth while adjusting to U.S. tariffs, supporting a restrictive stance without immediate cut or hike signals from Governor Tiff Macklem's recent comments. Key challenges include softer-than-expected April CPI data due May 19 or weakening May employment, potentially tilting odds toward a 25 basis points cut if disinflation resumes.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Volumen
$18,785Enddatum
10. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10, 2026 announcement, reflecting the central bank's April 29 hold at 2.25% amid March CPI inflation accelerating to 2.4%—above the 2% target—and steady unemployment at 6.7% with modest 14,000 job gains. This positioning stems from the Monetary Policy Report's outlook for moderate GDP growth while adjusting to U.S. tariffs, supporting a restrictive stance without immediate cut or hike signals from Governor Tiff Macklem's recent comments. Key challenges include softer-than-expected April CPI data due May 19 or weakening May employment, potentially tilting odds toward a 25 basis points cut if disinflation resumes.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$18,785Enddatum
10. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Canada's policy rate at its June 10, 2026 announcement, reflecting the central bank's April 29 hold at 2.25% amid March CPI inflation accelerating to 2.4%—above the 2% target—and steady unemployment at 6.7% with modest 14,000 job gains. This positioning stems from the Monetary Policy Report's outlook for moderate GDP growth while adjusting to U.S. tariffs, supporting a restrictive stance without immediate cut or hike signals from Governor Tiff Macklem's recent comments. Key challenges include softer-than-expected April CPI data due May 19 or weakening May employment, potentially tilting odds toward a 25 basis points cut if disinflation resumes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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