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Politik·Auszeichnungen

Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026

Market icon
Politik·Auszeichnungen

Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9.6%

Julija Nawalnaja 9%

Donald Trump 8%

Papst Leo XIV 4.5%

Polymarket

$14,042,865 Vol.

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9.6%

Julija Nawalnaja 9%

Donald Trump 8%

Papst Leo XIV 4.5%

Polymarket

$14,042,865 Vol.

Wird Volodymyr Zelenskyy den Friedensnobelpreis im Jahr 2026 gewinnen? icon

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$421,306 Vol.

10%

Wird Julija Nawalnaja den Friedensnobelpreis 2026 gewinnen? icon

Julija Nawalnaja

$125,167 Vol.

9%

Wird Donald Trump im Jahr 2026 den Friedensnobelpreis gewinnen? icon

Donald Trump

$2,540,741 Vol.

8%

Wird Papst Leo XIV im Jahr 2026 den Friedensnobelpreis gewinnen? icon

Papst Leo XIV

$629,073 Vol.

5%

Wird Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani den Friedensnobelpreis 2026 gewinnen? icon

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$520,056 Vol.

3%

Wird der Internationale Gerichtshof den Friedensnobelpreis im Jahr 2026 gewinnen? icon

Internationaler Gerichtshof

$685,126 Vol.

3%

Wird UNRWA den Friedensnobelpreis im Jahr 2026 gewinnen? icon

UNRWA

$1,826,881 Vol.

3%

Wird Greta Thunberg den Friedensnobelpreis im Jahr 2026 gewinnen? icon

Greta Thunberg

$1,068,688 Vol.

3%

Wird Xi Jinping im Jahr 2026 den Friedensnobelpreis gewinnen? icon

Xi Jinping

$904,603 Vol.

2%

Wird Narendra Modi den Friedensnobelpreis im Jahr 2026 gewinnen? icon

Narendra Modi

$411,294 Vol.

2%

Wird Recep Tayyip Erdoğan im Jahr 2026 den Friedensnobelpreis gewinnen? icon

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$503,702 Vol.

1%

Wird Ahmed al-Sharaa 2026 den Friedensnobelpreis gewinnen? icon

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$679,124 Vol.

1%

Wird Mohammed bin Salman im Jahr 2026 den Friedensnobelpreis gewinnen? icon

Mohammed bin Salman

$646,763 Vol.

1%

Wird Charlie Kirk im Jahr 2026 den Friedensnobelpreis gewinnen? icon

Gruppeneintrag-Titel: Charlie Kirk

$713,874 Vol.

1%

Wird Elon Musk den Friedensnobelpreis im Jahr 2026 gewinnen? icon

Titel des Gruppenitems: Elon Musk

$557,763 Vol.

1%

Wird Khaled Mashal den Friedensnobelpreis 2026 gewinnen? icon

Khaled Mashal

$289,049 Vol.

1%

Wird Julian Assange den Friedensnobelpreis im Jahr 2026 gewinnen? icon

Gruppeneintragstitel: Julian Assange

$362,836 Vol.

1%

Wird António Guterres den Friedensnobelpreis 2026 gewinnen? icon

António Guterres

$252,308 Vol.

1%

Wird Wladimir Putin im Jahr 2026 den Friedensnobelpreis gewinnen? icon

Wladimir Putin

$543,136 Vol.

1%

Wird Benjamin Netanyahu im Jahr 2026 den Friedensnobelpreis gewinnen? icon

Gruppen-Item-Titel: Benjamin Netanyahu

$361,989 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy holding a slim lead at 9.6% implied probability after his late-March formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, spotlighting his defense of democracy amid Russia's invasion. Yulia Navalnaya trails closely at 8.5%, buoyed by her enduring symbolism as Alexei Navalny's successor in the Russian opposition narrative, while Donald Trump sits at 7.5% on momentum from U.S. congressional nominations and claims of diplomatic breakthroughs like India-Pakistan de-escalation. No outcome exceeds 10%, underscoring the Nobel Committee's history of upsets favoring underdogs or organizations; key differentiators include Zelenskyy's wartime leadership, Navalnaya's human rights advocacy, and Trump's deal-making rhetoric, with buzz intensifying ahead of the October 2026 announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$14,042,865
Enddatum
10. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy holding a slim lead at 9.6% implied probability after his late-March formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, spotlighting his defense of democracy amid Russia's invasion. Yulia Navalnaya trails closely at 8.5%, buoyed by her enduring symbolism as Alexei Navalny's successor in the Russian opposition narrative, while Donald Trump sits at 7.5% on momentum from U.S. congressional nominations and claims of diplomatic breakthroughs like India-Pakistan de-escalation. No outcome exceeds 10%, underscoring the Nobel Committee's history of upsets favoring underdogs or organizations; key differentiators include Zelenskyy's wartime leadership, Navalnaya's human rights advocacy, and Trump's deal-making rhetoric, with buzz intensifying ahead of the October 2026 announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$14,042,865
Enddatum
10. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 20 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy" mit 10%, gefolgt von „Julija Nawalnaja" mit 9%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 10¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 10% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $14 million generiert, seit der Markt am Oct 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 20 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ist „Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy" mit 10%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 10% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Julija Nawalnaja" mit 9%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.