With national selections wrapping up through late March 2026—including standout wins like Finland's UMK entry, Sarah Engels' "Fire" for Germany, and Poland's Alicja—trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around Finland as the frontrunner for a top 5 finish, buoyed by strong community scoreboards on ESCXTRA and bookie odds reflecting superior song craft and staging previews. Sweden's "My System," France, and Greece also command significant market-implied probabilities amid buzz over potential jury-televote splits, as seen in fan forecasts predicting upsets like Malta's jury surge or Israel's televote strength. Eurovision in Concert's March 31 showcase of 27 acts amplified visibility, but Vienna rehearsals starting soon ahead of semis on May 12/14 and grand final May 16 remain pivotal for momentum shifts in this unpredictable contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$39,508 Vol.

Finland
82%

Denmark
59%

Israel
58%

Greece
57%

Australia
53%

France
51%

Sweden
40%

Romania
26%

Ukraine
34%

Italy
32%

Malta
20%

Cyprus
17%

Czechia
17%

Moldova
14%

Armenia
13%

Croatia
12%

Norway
12%

United Kingdom
12%

Germany
12%

Bulgaria
11%

Albania
10%

Georgia
10%

Montenegro
9%

Poland
9%

Switzerland
9%

Austria
9%

Luxembourg
9%

Lithuania
9%

San Marino
8%

Latvia
8%

Estonia
8%

Belgium
8%

Portugal
7%

Azerbaijan
7%

Serbia
10%
$39,508 Vol.

Finland
82%

Denmark
59%

Israel
58%

Greece
57%

Australia
53%

France
51%

Sweden
40%

Romania
26%

Ukraine
34%

Italy
32%

Malta
20%

Cyprus
17%

Czechia
17%

Moldova
14%

Armenia
13%

Croatia
12%

Norway
12%

United Kingdom
12%

Germany
12%

Bulgaria
11%

Albania
10%

Georgia
10%

Montenegro
9%

Poland
9%

Switzerland
9%

Austria
9%

Luxembourg
9%

Lithuania
9%

San Marino
8%

Latvia
8%

Estonia
8%

Belgium
8%

Portugal
7%

Azerbaijan
7%

Serbia
10%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With national selections wrapping up through late March 2026—including standout wins like Finland's UMK entry, Sarah Engels' "Fire" for Germany, and Poland's Alicja—trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around Finland as the frontrunner for a top 5 finish, buoyed by strong community scoreboards on ESCXTRA and bookie odds reflecting superior song craft and staging previews. Sweden's "My System," France, and Greece also command significant market-implied probabilities amid buzz over potential jury-televote splits, as seen in fan forecasts predicting upsets like Malta's jury surge or Israel's televote strength. Eurovision in Concert's March 31 showcase of 27 acts amplified visibility, but Vienna rehearsals starting soon ahead of semis on May 12/14 and grand final May 16 remain pivotal for momentum shifts in this unpredictable contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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