Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 47% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their high-energy "Liekinheitin," propelled by explosive first and second rehearsals in Vienna showcasing dynamic staging, confirmed live violin performance, and dominance in OGAE fan polls plus strong Eurojury placings. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund surged to second at 13% after overtaking Greece via impressive vocal delivery and polished visuals in recent "Før vi går hjem" rehearsals, appealing to both juries and televoters. Greece's Akylas slipped slightly to 12% following a mixed "Ferto" preview blending gaming elements but lacking punch, amid broader field solidification post-all 35 entries' March unveilings. Semifinals on May 12 and 14 loom as pivotal qualifiers shaping final momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEurovision-Gewinner 2026
Eurovision-Gewinner 2026
Finnland 46.9%
Dänemark 12.6%
Griechenland 12.3%
Frankreich 5.8%
$143,679,826 Vol.
$143,679,826 Vol.

Finnland
47%

Dänemark
13%

Griechenland
12%

Frankreich
6%

Australien
5%

Israel
4%

Rumänien
3%

Malta
2%

Italien
2%

Schweden
2%

Ukraine
1%

Zypern
1%

Kroatien
1%

Tschechien
1%

Bulgarien
1%

Serbien
1%

Luxemburg
<1%

Norwegen
<1%

Deutschland
<1%

Moldawien
<1%

Vereinigtes Königreich
<1%

Albanien
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Belgien
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Armenien
<1%

Aserbaidschan
<1%

Litauen
<1%

Polen
<1%

Schweiz
<1%

Lettland
<1%

Portugal
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Georgien
<1%

Montenegro
<1%
Finnland 46.9%
Dänemark 12.6%
Griechenland 12.3%
Frankreich 5.8%
$143,679,826 Vol.
$143,679,826 Vol.

Finnland
47%

Dänemark
13%

Griechenland
12%

Frankreich
6%

Australien
5%

Israel
4%

Rumänien
3%

Malta
2%

Italien
2%

Schweden
2%

Ukraine
1%

Zypern
1%

Kroatien
1%

Tschechien
1%

Bulgarien
1%

Serbien
1%

Luxemburg
<1%

Norwegen
<1%

Deutschland
<1%

Moldawien
<1%

Vereinigtes Königreich
<1%

Albanien
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Belgien
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Armenien
<1%

Aserbaidschan
<1%

Litauen
<1%

Polen
<1%

Schweiz
<1%

Lettland
<1%

Portugal
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Georgien
<1%

Montenegro
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 47% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory with their high-energy "Liekinheitin," propelled by explosive first and second rehearsals in Vienna showcasing dynamic staging, confirmed live violin performance, and dominance in OGAE fan polls plus strong Eurojury placings. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund surged to second at 13% after overtaking Greece via impressive vocal delivery and polished visuals in recent "Før vi går hjem" rehearsals, appealing to both juries and televoters. Greece's Akylas slipped slightly to 12% following a mixed "Ferto" preview blending gaming elements but lacking punch, amid broader field solidification post-all 35 entries' March unveilings. Semifinals on May 12 and 14 loom as pivotal qualifiers shaping final momentum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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