Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.7% implied probability with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," propelled by its infectious chorus, dynamic staging potential, and rare jury-televote balance highlighted in recent rehearsals and model forecasts like 'The Model.' France's Monroe surged to 13.4% following the March unveiling of operatic "Regarde!," evoking recent winner momentum, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 10.2% on the emotional ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from early February's Dansk Melodi Grand Prix. Greece's Akylas at 6.5% gains from "Ferto's" national final energy, and Australia's Delta Goodrem at 6.4% benefits from star power in "Eclipse." With national selections wrapping up and Vienna semis on May 12/14, preview buzz and allocation draws will drive further shifts in this fluid market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEurovision-Gewinner 2026
Eurovision-Gewinner 2026
Finnland 35.7%
Frankreich 13.4%
Dänemark 10.2%
Australien 6.5%
$53,110,686 Vol.
$53,110,686 Vol.

Finnland
36%

Frankreich
13%

Dänemark
10%

Australien
6%

Griechenland
6%

Israel
4%

Schweden
4%

Ukraine
2%

Italien
2%

Rumänien
2%

Tschechien
1%

Zypern
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgarien
1%

Kroatien
1%

Deutschland
1%

Luxemburg
1%

Belgien
1%

Norwegen
1%

Schweiz
1%

Vereinigtes Königreich
1%

Polen
1%

Albanien
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Lettland
<1%

Moldawien
<1%

Portugal
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Armenien
<1%

Aserbaidschan
<1%

Georgien
<1%

Litauen
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Serbien
<1%
Finnland 35.7%
Frankreich 13.4%
Dänemark 10.2%
Australien 6.5%
$53,110,686 Vol.
$53,110,686 Vol.

Finnland
36%

Frankreich
13%

Dänemark
10%

Australien
6%

Griechenland
6%

Israel
4%

Schweden
4%

Ukraine
2%

Italien
2%

Rumänien
2%

Tschechien
1%

Zypern
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgarien
1%

Kroatien
1%

Deutschland
1%

Luxemburg
1%

Belgien
1%

Norwegen
1%

Schweiz
1%

Vereinigtes Königreich
1%

Polen
1%

Albanien
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Lettland
<1%

Moldawien
<1%

Portugal
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Armenien
<1%

Aserbaidschan
<1%

Georgien
<1%

Litauen
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Serbien
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.7% implied probability with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," propelled by its infectious chorus, dynamic staging potential, and rare jury-televote balance highlighted in recent rehearsals and model forecasts like 'The Model.' France's Monroe surged to 13.4% following the March unveiling of operatic "Regarde!," evoking recent winner momentum, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 10.2% on the emotional ballad "Før Vi Går Hjem" from early February's Dansk Melodi Grand Prix. Greece's Akylas at 6.5% gains from "Ferto's" national final energy, and Australia's Delta Goodrem at 6.4% benefits from star power in "Eclipse." With national selections wrapping up and Vienna semis on May 12/14, preview buzz and allocation draws will drive further shifts in this fluid market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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