Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 27.1% implied probability due to his record goal tallies and consistent big-game contributions for Bayern Munich across the Bundesliga and Champions League campaigns. Ousmane Dembélé at 16% benefits from PSG's European and domestic successes plus his prior award pedigree, while Lamine Yamal at 14% reflects Barcelona's strong domestic showings and his continued breakout as a young attacking force. Vitinha and Kylian Mbappé follow closely on the strength of club form and national-team potential. The wide-open field hinges on 2025-26 trophy hauls, individual output, and World Cup performances, with traders pricing in Kane's volume stats against rivals' team achievements and momentum shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBallon d'Or Gewinner 2026
Harry Kane 27.1%
Ousmane Dembélé 16.0%
Lamine Yamal 14%
Vitinha 11.6%
$3,935,133 Vol.
$3,935,133 Vol.
Harry Kane
27%
Ousmane Dembélé
16%
Lamine Yamal
14%
Vitinha
12%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Michael Olise
4%
Bruno Fernandes
3%
Declan Rice
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Raphinha
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Désiré Doué
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 27.1%
Ousmane Dembélé 16.0%
Lamine Yamal 14%
Vitinha 11.6%
$3,935,133 Vol.
$3,935,133 Vol.
Harry Kane
27%
Ousmane Dembélé
16%
Lamine Yamal
14%
Vitinha
12%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Michael Olise
4%
Bruno Fernandes
3%
Declan Rice
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Raphinha
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Désiré Doué
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 27.1% implied probability due to his record goal tallies and consistent big-game contributions for Bayern Munich across the Bundesliga and Champions League campaigns. Ousmane Dembélé at 16% benefits from PSG's European and domestic successes plus his prior award pedigree, while Lamine Yamal at 14% reflects Barcelona's strong domestic showings and his continued breakout as a young attacking force. Vitinha and Kylian Mbappé follow closely on the strength of club form and national-team potential. The wide-open field hinges on 2025-26 trophy hauls, individual output, and World Cup performances, with traders pricing in Kane's volume stats against rivals' team achievements and momentum shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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