Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 2.4 million to 2.6 million TSA passengers on March 25 at 79.5% implied probability, reflecting sustained spring break momentum and pre-Easter travel demand after recent daily throughputs peaked near 2.5 million on March 23-24. Sequential data shows weekday averages holding above 2.3 million year-over-year, bolstered by robust consumer spending amid low unemployment and stable jet fuel prices around $2.80/gallon. The 22.5% odds for 2.2M-2.4M capture potential post-weekend softening, while tails above 2.6 million remain slim absent major surges. Clear weather forecasts nationwide and no airline disruptions reinforce this narrow range, with official TSA release expected Tuesday.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert2.4M-2.6M 71%
2.2M-2.4M 23%
<2.2M 3.1%
2.6M-2.8M 2.1%
$1,651 Vol.
$1,651 Vol.
<2.2M
7%
2.2M-2.4M
23%
2.4M-2.6M
80%
2.6M-2.8M
2%
2.8M-3.0M
1%
>3.0M
1%
2.4M-2.6M 71%
2.2M-2.4M 23%
<2.2M 3.1%
2.6M-2.8M 2.1%
$1,651 Vol.
$1,651 Vol.
<2.2M
7%
2.2M-2.4M
23%
2.4M-2.6M
80%
2.6M-2.8M
2%
2.8M-3.0M
1%
>3.0M
1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 2.4 million to 2.6 million TSA passengers on March 25 at 79.5% implied probability, reflecting sustained spring break momentum and pre-Easter travel demand after recent daily throughputs peaked near 2.5 million on March 23-24. Sequential data shows weekday averages holding above 2.3 million year-over-year, bolstered by robust consumer spending amid low unemployment and stable jet fuel prices around $2.80/gallon. The 22.5% odds for 2.2M-2.4M capture potential post-weekend softening, while tails above 2.6 million remain slim absent major surges. Clear weather forecasts nationwide and no airline disruptions reinforce this narrow range, with official TSA release expected Tuesday.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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