Europe's commanding 69.5% implied probability stems from its historical World Cup dominance—12 titles—and unmatched depth of elite talent, including FIFA top-ranked France, Spain (fresh off Euro 2024 victory), England, and Germany. Traders see little erosion despite South America's 21.5% share, fueled by Argentina's Copa América repeat and Brazil's pedigree (10 combined titles). Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's 2022 semifinal run and expanded slots (nine direct), while North America's 2.4% gains minor lift from hosting (USA, Canada, Mexico auto-qualified) and six berths. Asia and Oceania trail as perennial underdogs lacking major tournament breakthroughs, with ongoing qualifiers showing no continental upsets to shift consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEuropa 70%
Südamerika 22%
Afrika 4.0%
Nordamerika 2.4%
$1,126,920 Vol.
$1,126,920 Vol.
Europa
70%
Südamerika
22%
Afrika
4%
Nordamerika
2%
Asien
2%
Ozeanien
<1%
Europa 70%
Südamerika 22%
Afrika 4.0%
Nordamerika 2.4%
$1,126,920 Vol.
$1,126,920 Vol.
Europa
70%
Südamerika
22%
Afrika
4%
Nordamerika
2%
Asien
2%
Ozeanien
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe's commanding 69.5% implied probability stems from its historical World Cup dominance—12 titles—and unmatched depth of elite talent, including FIFA top-ranked France, Spain (fresh off Euro 2024 victory), England, and Germany. Traders see little erosion despite South America's 21.5% share, fueled by Argentina's Copa América repeat and Brazil's pedigree (10 combined titles). Africa's 4% reflects Morocco's 2022 semifinal run and expanded slots (nine direct), while North America's 2.4% gains minor lift from hosting (USA, Canada, Mexico auto-qualified) and six berths. Asia and Oceania trail as perennial underdogs lacking major tournament breakthroughs, with ongoing qualifiers showing no continental upsets to shift consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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