The tight clustering of implied probabilities among France, Spain, and England stems from their comparable squad depth, recent European Championship performances, and seamless qualification campaigns ahead of the expanded 48-team format. Spain, fresh off their Euro triumph and maintaining an extended unbeaten run, benefits from emerging talents like Lamine Yamal and Pedri, while France leverages Kylian Mbappé’s scoring prowess and proven knockout resilience from 2018 and 2022. England’s consistent international results and strong attacking options keep them within striking distance. South American sides like Brazil and Argentina trail slightly due to transitional form and tougher CONMEBOL paths, with the group stage’s top-two-plus-best-third structure creating volatile knockout routes that heighten uncertainty across the field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 17.3%
Spanien 16.6%
England 11.3%
Brasilien 9.2%
$994,380,085 Vol.
$994,380,085 Vol.
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
17%
Spanien
17%
England
11%
Brasilien
9%
Argentinien
9%
Portugal
8%
Deutschland
5%
Niederlande
3%
Norwegen
2%
Japan
2%
Belgien
2%
Kolumbien
2%
USA
2%
Marokko
2%
Schweiz
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexiko
1%
Kroatien
1%
Ecuador
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%
Türkei
1%
Österreich
1%
Schweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Südkorea
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%
Schottland
<1%
Elfenbeinküste
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algerien
<1%
Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%
Tschechien
<1%
Australien
<1%
Neuseeland
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordanien
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Usbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Südafrika
<1%
DR Kongo
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich 17.3%
Spanien 16.6%
England 11.3%
Brasilien 9.2%
$994,380,085 Vol.
$994,380,085 Vol.
Gruppen-Element-Titel: Frankreich
17%
Spanien
17%
England
11%
Brasilien
9%
Argentinien
9%
Portugal
8%
Deutschland
5%
Niederlande
3%
Norwegen
2%
Japan
2%
Belgien
2%
Kolumbien
2%
USA
2%
Marokko
2%
Schweiz
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexiko
1%
Kroatien
1%
Ecuador
1%
Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Senegal
1%
Türkei
1%
Österreich
1%
Schweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Südkorea
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Paraguay
<1%
Schottland
<1%
Elfenbeinküste
<1%
Ägypten
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algerien
<1%
Bosnien-Herzegowina
<1%
Gruppeneintragstitel: Tunesien
<1%
Tschechien
<1%
Australien
<1%
Neuseeland
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordanien
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Usbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Südafrika
<1%
DR Kongo
<1%
Gruppenelement-Titel: Kap Verde
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi-Arabien
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among France, Spain, and England stems from their comparable squad depth, recent European Championship performances, and seamless qualification campaigns ahead of the expanded 48-team format. Spain, fresh off their Euro triumph and maintaining an extended unbeaten run, benefits from emerging talents like Lamine Yamal and Pedri, while France leverages Kylian Mbappé’s scoring prowess and proven knockout resilience from 2018 and 2022. England’s consistent international results and strong attacking options keep them within striking distance. South American sides like Brazil and Argentina trail slightly due to transitional form and tougher CONMEBOL paths, with the group stage’s top-two-plus-best-third structure creating volatile knockout routes that heighten uncertainty across the field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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