Oklahoma City Thunder's status as defending champions and 3-2 lead in the Western Conference Finals against the San Antonio Spurs underpins their 57.5% implied probability, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander delivering high-output performances amid roster adjustments for Jalen Williams' hamstring absence. The Spurs' 15.2% reflects Victor Wembanyama's impact and their ability to force a Game 6 after evening the series at 2-2, though recent losses highlight matchup challenges against OKC's depth. New York Knicks' sweep of the Cleveland Cavaliers to claim the East has elevated their 28.4% standing, positioning them with rest advantages heading into the Finals regardless of the Western outcome. Trader consensus incorporates these playoff trajectories, home-court dynamics, and injury timelines as the series heads toward resolution.