Market icon
Welt·Belohnungen Automatisierung 50 4,5 50

Anzahl der TSA-Passagiere am 4. April?

Market icon
Welt·Belohnungen Automatisierung 50 4,5 50

Anzahl der TSA-Passagiere am 4. April?

Apr. 2

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

Apr. 2

Apr. 3

Apr. 4

<3,0 Mio. 97.1%

3,0 Mio.-3,2 Mio. 3.0%

3,4–3,6 Mio. <1%

>3,8 Mio. <1%

Polymarket
NEU

<3,0 Mio. 97.1%

3,0 Mio.-3,2 Mio. 3.0%

3,4–3,6 Mio. <1%

>3,8 Mio. <1%

Polymarket
NEU

<3,0 Mio.

$299 Vol.

97%

3,0 Mio.-3,2 Mio.

$0 Vol.

3%

3,2 Mio.–3,4 Mio.

$1,191 Vol.

<1%

3,4–3,6 Mio.

$1,771 Vol.

<1%

3,6M-3,8M

$1,755 Vol.

<1%

>3,8 Mio.

$1,758 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97% implied probability for fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, driven by recent screening volumes consistently below this threshold amid spring break's tail end and ongoing government shutdown disruptions. Official TSA data shows April 1 at 2.36 million, March 31 at 2.15 million, and March 29 at 2.76 million—levels reflecting a 12% year-over-year decline per MacroMicro metrics, exacerbated by TSA staffing shortages causing checkpoint closures and multi-hour lines that deter travel. This skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores subdued demand post-Good Friday chaos, with average daily projections around 2.8 million unfulfilled lately. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen Easter weekend surge or shutdown resolution boosting flight volumes significantly above recent trends.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$6,759
Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97% implied probability for fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, driven by recent screening volumes consistently below this threshold amid spring break's tail end and ongoing government shutdown disruptions. Official TSA data shows April 1 at 2.36 million, March 31 at 2.15 million, and March 29 at 2.76 million—levels reflecting a 12% year-over-year decline per MacroMicro metrics, exacerbated by TSA staffing shortages causing checkpoint closures and multi-hour lines that deter travel. This skin-in-the-game sentiment underscores subdued demand post-Good Friday chaos, with average daily projections around 2.8 million unfulfilled lately. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen Easter weekend surge or shutdown resolution boosting flight volumes significantly above recent trends.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$6,759
Enddatum
4. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Anzahl der TSA-Passagiere am 4. April?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „<3,0 Mio." mit 97%, gefolgt von „3,0 Mio.-3,2 Mio." mit 3%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 97¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Anzahl der TSA-Passagiere am 4. April?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 2, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Anzahl der TSA-Passagiere am 4. April?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Anzahl der TSA-Passagiere am 4. April?" ist „<3,0 Mio." mit 97%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „3,0 Mio.-3,2 Mio." mit 3%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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