Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around $620-670 billion for Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, reflecting recent Tesla stock weakness—down over 5% in the past week to around $355 amid HSBC's downgrade to a $131 target citing EV demand slowdowns—and volatile private valuations for SpaceX (rumored $1.75 trillion IPO push) and xAI ($230-250 billion post-funding). No single bin leads decisively at 31% for under $600 billion, underscoring uncertainty from Q1 delivery reports due early April and earnings call late in the month, which could swing shares 10-20% and dictate the outcome. Musk's confirmed stakes in Tesla (13%) and SpaceX (42%) amplify these high-stakes dynamics, with historical volatility favoring sharp post-earnings moves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert<600 Mrd. 31%
600-610 Mrd. 31%
620-630 Mrd. 31%
630-640 Mrd. 31%
<600 Mrd.
31%
600-610 Mrd.
31%
610-620 Mrd.
30%
620-630 Mrd.
31%
630-640 Mrd.
31%
640-650 Mrd.
30%
650-660 Mrd.
31%
660-670 Mrd.
31%
670 Mrd.+
29%
<600 Mrd. 31%
600-610 Mrd. 31%
620-630 Mrd. 31%
630-640 Mrd. 31%
<600 Mrd.
31%
600-610 Mrd.
31%
610-620 Mrd.
30%
620-630 Mrd.
31%
630-640 Mrd.
31%
640-650 Mrd.
30%
650-660 Mrd.
31%
660-670 Mrd.
31%
670 Mrd.+
29%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 30, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around $620-670 billion for Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, reflecting recent Tesla stock weakness—down over 5% in the past week to around $355 amid HSBC's downgrade to a $131 target citing EV demand slowdowns—and volatile private valuations for SpaceX (rumored $1.75 trillion IPO push) and xAI ($230-250 billion post-funding). No single bin leads decisively at 31% for under $600 billion, underscoring uncertainty from Q1 delivery reports due early April and earnings call late in the month, which could swing shares 10-20% and dictate the outcome. Musk's confirmed stakes in Tesla (13%) and SpaceX (42%) amplify these high-stakes dynamics, with historical volatility favoring sharp post-earnings moves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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