SpaceX’s recent decision to target an IPO valuation of at least $1.8 trillion—down from earlier goals above $2 trillion after advisor and investor consultations—has anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T range at 71% implied probability. The company’s S-1 filing and planned June 2026 debut, potentially raising $40-80 billion, have reinforced this band, supported by Starlink’s rapid revenue expansion and subscriber growth that analysts view as the core value driver. Broader market conditions, including elevated risk appetite for high-growth tech, further bolster positioning near the midpoint of the targeted range while leaving limited room for outcomes above $2.25T. Key upcoming catalysts include final pricing details and roadshow feedback ahead of listing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie wird der Börsengang von SpaceX bewertet?
Wie wird der Börsengang von SpaceX bewertet?
1,75–2,00 Billionen 71%
2,00–2,25T 17%
1,50-1,75 Billionen 3.4%
2,25–2,50 Billionen 2.5%
$157,831 Vol.
$157,831 Vol.
<1,25 Billionen
1%
1,25-1,50 Billionen
1%
1,50-1,75 Billionen
10%
1,75–2,00 Billionen
71%
2,00–2,25T
17%
2,25–2,50 Billionen
2%
2,50T+
2%
1,75–2,00 Billionen 71%
2,00–2,25T 17%
1,50-1,75 Billionen 3.4%
2,25–2,50 Billionen 2.5%
$157,831 Vol.
$157,831 Vol.
<1,25 Billionen
$63,202 Vol.
1%
1,25-1,50 Billionen
$17,286 Vol.
1%
1,50-1,75 Billionen
$11,108 Vol.
10%
1,75–2,00 Billionen
$22,292 Vol.
71%
2,00–2,25T
$16,080 Vol.
17%
2,25–2,50 Billionen
$11,728 Vol.
2%
2,50T+
$16,135 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent decision to target an IPO valuation of at least $1.8 trillion—down from earlier goals above $2 trillion after advisor and investor consultations—has anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T range at 71% implied probability. The company’s S-1 filing and planned June 2026 debut, potentially raising $40-80 billion, have reinforced this band, supported by Starlink’s rapid revenue expansion and subscriber growth that analysts view as the core value driver. Broader market conditions, including elevated risk appetite for high-growth tech, further bolster positioning near the midpoint of the targeted range while leaving limited room for outcomes above $2.25T. Key upcoming catalysts include final pricing details and roadshow feedback ahead of listing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$157,831Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s recent decision to target an IPO valuation of at least $1.8 trillion—down from earlier goals above $2 trillion after advisor and investor consultations—has anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T range at 71% implied probability. The company’s S-1 filing and planned June 2026 debut, potentially raising $40-80 billion, have reinforced this band, supported by Starlink’s rapid revenue expansion and subscriber growth that analysts view as the core value driver. Broader market conditions, including elevated risk appetite for high-growth tech, further bolster positioning near the midpoint of the targeted range while leaving limited room for outcomes above $2.25T. Key upcoming catalysts include final pricing details and roadshow feedback ahead of listing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$157,831Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent decision to target an IPO valuation of at least $1.8 trillion—down from earlier goals above $2 trillion after advisor and investor consultations—has anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T range at 71% implied probability. The company’s S-1 filing and planned June 2026 debut, potentially raising $40-80 billion, have reinforced this band, supported by Starlink’s rapid revenue expansion and subscriber growth that analysts view as the core value driver. Broader market conditions, including elevated risk appetite for high-growth tech, further bolster positioning near the midpoint of the targeted range while leaving limited room for outcomes above $2.25T. Key upcoming catalysts include final pricing details and roadshow feedback ahead of listing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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