SpaceX’s recent S-1 filing and downward adjustment of its IPO valuation target to at least $1.8 trillion have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00 trillion range, now carrying 71% implied probability. Strong Starlink subscriber growth and revenue contribution—accounting for the majority of 2025’s $18.7 billion total—support premium multiples, while ongoing losses in other segments and a modest float introduce caution. The accelerated June 2026 Nasdaq listing timeline, following adviser consultations that trimmed earlier $2 trillion-plus ambitions, further concentrates positioning ahead of pricing and roadshow activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie wird der Börsengang von SpaceX bewertet?
1,75–2,00 Billionen 71%
2,00–2,25T 14%
2,25–2,50 Billionen 4.1%
1,50-1,75 Billionen 3.4%
$157,986 Vol.
$157,986 Vol.
<1,25 Billionen
1%
1,25-1,50 Billionen
1%
1,50-1,75 Billionen
8%
1,75–2,00 Billionen
71%
2,00–2,25T
14%
2,25–2,50 Billionen
4%
2,50T+
2%
1,75–2,00 Billionen 71%
2,00–2,25T 14%
2,25–2,50 Billionen 4.1%
1,50-1,75 Billionen 3.4%
$157,986 Vol.
$157,986 Vol.
<1,25 Billionen
1%
1,25-1,50 Billionen
1%
1,50-1,75 Billionen
8%
1,75–2,00 Billionen
71%
2,00–2,25T
14%
2,25–2,50 Billionen
4%
2,50T+
2%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent S-1 filing and downward adjustment of its IPO valuation target to at least $1.8 trillion have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00 trillion range, now carrying 71% implied probability. Strong Starlink subscriber growth and revenue contribution—accounting for the majority of 2025’s $18.7 billion total—support premium multiples, while ongoing losses in other segments and a modest float introduce caution. The accelerated June 2026 Nasdaq listing timeline, following adviser consultations that trimmed earlier $2 trillion-plus ambitions, further concentrates positioning ahead of pricing and roadshow activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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