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Technik·Zwillinge 3

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?

Market icon
Technik·Zwillinge 3

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?

Ended: März 31

Apr. 30

Mai 31

Juni 30

Ended: März 31

Apr. 30

Mai 31

Juni 30

Anthropic 100.0%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Baidu <1%

Polymarket

$16,222,838 Vol.

Anthropic 100.0%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Baidu <1%

Polymarket

$16,222,838 Vol.

Wird Google Ende März 2026 das beste KI-Modell haben? icon

Google

$1,196,016 Vol.

Nein

Wird OpenAI bis Ende März 2026 das beste KI-Modell haben? icon

OpenAI

$1,653,187 Vol.

Nein

Wird Baidu Ende März 2026 das beste KI-Modell haben? icon

Baidu

$3,141,144 Vol.

Nein

Wird xAI am Ende März 2026 das beste KI-Modell haben? icon

xAI

$1,261,862 Vol.

Nein

Wird Moonshot das beste KI-Modell Ende März 2026 haben? icon

Moonshot

$1,424,813 Vol.

Nein

Wird Meituan am Ende März 2026 das beste KI-Modell haben? icon

Meituan

$1,201,321 Vol.

Nein

Wird Anthropic am Ende März 2026 das beste KI-Modell haben? icon

Anthropic

$1,753,531 Vol.

Ja

Wird Alibaba am Ende März 2026 das beste KI-Modell haben? icon

Alibaba

$1,225,712 Vol.

Nein

Wird Z.ai am Ende März 2026 das beste KI-Modell haben? icon

Z.ai

$1,263,181 Vol.

Nein

Wird DeepSeek Ende März 2026 das beste KI-Modell haben? icon

DeepSeek

$1,481,355 Vol.

Nein

Wird Mistral Ende März 2026 das beste KI-Modell haben? icon

Mistral

$620,715 Vol.

Nein

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Anthropic claiming the best AI model by end of March 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.6's dominant position atop the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard (style control off), where it holds the highest Arena Score as of the March 31 snapshot. This reflects Anthropic's aggressive 2026 roadmap, including the February Claude Opus 4.6 release excelling in reasoning benchmarks like GPQA (91.9%) and MMLU-Pro (82%), plus March enhancements such as 1M-token context windows, agentic workflows via Claude Cowork, and surging enterprise adoption per their Economic Index report. While real capital backs this skin-in-the-game verdict, late-breaking competitor launches from Google (Gemini 3.1 Pro) or OpenAI (GPT-5.4), leaderboard volatility, or a tie could theoretically challenge it before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$16,222,838
Enddatum
31. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Anthropic claiming the best AI model by end of March 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.6's dominant position atop the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard (style control off), where it holds the highest Arena Score as of the March 31 snapshot. This reflects Anthropic's aggressive 2026 roadmap, including the February Claude Opus 4.6 release excelling in reasoning benchmarks like GPQA (91.9%) and MMLU-Pro (82%), plus March enhancements such as 1M-token context windows, agentic workflows via Claude Cowork, and surging enterprise adoption per their Economic Index report. While real capital backs this skin-in-the-game verdict, late-breaking competitor launches from Google (Gemini 3.1 Pro) or OpenAI (GPT-5.4), leaderboard volatility, or a tie could theoretically challenge it before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$16,222,838
Enddatum
31. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Anthropic" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Google" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $16.2 million generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 2, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?" ist „Anthropic" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Google" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das beste KI-Modell?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.