Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 models dominate the LMArena Text Arena Overall leaderboard with Style Control on, holding the #1 (claude-opus-4-6-thinking at 1504) and #2 (claude-opus-4-6 at 1500) spots as of the March 26 update, fueling 97.1% trader consensus backed by 5.6 million crowdsourced votes. This positioning stems from recent enhancements in reasoning and style-consistent responses, outpacing Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (#3 at 1493) and xAI's Grok-4.20 Beta (#4 at 1491), amid a competitive AI landscape where benchmarks like Arena Scores reflect real-user preferences over raw capabilities. While leaderboard stability suggests low upset risk before March 31 resolution, a late-breaking release from xAI or Google—leveraging preliminary Grok gains or Gemini previews—could realistically challenge the #2 slot if it surges in final battles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertAnthropic 97.1%
xAI 1.7%
DeepSeek <1%
OpenAI <1%
$507,690 Vol.
$507,690 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Anthropic
97%
xAI
2%
DeepSeek
1%
OpenAI
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 97.1%
xAI 1.7%
DeepSeek <1%
OpenAI <1%
$507,690 Vol.
$507,690 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Anthropic
$46,289 Vol.
97%
xAI
$21,476 Vol.
2%
DeepSeek
$90,172 Vol.
1%
OpenAI
$90,400 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$54,839 Vol.
<1%
$58,369 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$23,325 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$110,918 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$11,902 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 models dominate the LMArena Text Arena Overall leaderboard with Style Control on, holding the #1 (claude-opus-4-6-thinking at 1504) and #2 (claude-opus-4-6 at 1500) spots as of the March 26 update, fueling 97.1% trader consensus backed by 5.6 million crowdsourced votes. This positioning stems from recent enhancements in reasoning and style-consistent responses, outpacing Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (#3 at 1493) and xAI's Grok-4.20 Beta (#4 at 1491), amid a competitive AI landscape where benchmarks like Arena Scores reflect real-user preferences over raw capabilities. While leaderboard stability suggests low upset risk before March 31 resolution, a late-breaking release from xAI or Google—leveraging preliminary Grok gains or Gemini previews—could realistically challenge the #2 slot if it surges in final battles.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
Volumen
$507,690Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 models dominate the LMArena Text Arena Overall leaderboard with Style Control on, holding the #1 (claude-opus-4-6-thinking at 1504) and #2 (claude-opus-4-6 at 1500) spots as of the March 26 update, fueling 97.1% trader consensus backed by 5.6 million crowdsourced votes. This positioning stems from recent enhancements in reasoning and style-consistent responses, outpacing Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (#3 at 1493) and xAI's Grok-4.20 Beta (#4 at 1491), amid a competitive AI landscape where benchmarks like Arena Scores reflect real-user preferences over raw capabilities. While leaderboard stability suggests low upset risk before March 31 resolution, a late-breaking release from xAI or Google—leveraging preliminary Grok gains or Gemini previews—could realistically challenge the #2 slot if it surges in final battles.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$507,690Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 models dominate the LMArena Text Arena Overall leaderboard with Style Control on, holding the #1 (claude-opus-4-6-thinking at 1504) and #2 (claude-opus-4-6 at 1500) spots as of the March 26 update, fueling 97.1% trader consensus backed by 5.6 million crowdsourced votes. This positioning stems from recent enhancements in reasoning and style-consistent responses, outpacing Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (#3 at 1493) and xAI's Grok-4.20 Beta (#4 at 1491), amid a competitive AI landscape where benchmarks like Arena Scores reflect real-user preferences over raw capabilities. While leaderboard stability suggests low upset risk before March 31 resolution, a late-breaking release from xAI or Google—leveraging preliminary Grok gains or Gemini previews—could realistically challenge the #2 slot if it surges in final battles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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