Skip to main content
Market icon
Technik·Big Tech

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das KI-Modell Nr.2? (Stilsteuerung Ein)

Market icon
Technik·Big Tech

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das KI-Modell Nr.2? (Stilsteuerung Ein)

Ended: März 31

Apr. 30

Mai 31

Juni 30

Ended: März 31

Apr. 30

Mai 31

Juni 30

Anthropic 100.0%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Z.ai <1%

Polymarket

$590,523 Vol.

Anthropic 100.0%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Z.ai <1%

Polymarket

$590,523 Vol.

Wird Google am Ende März 2026 das zweitbeste KI-Modell haben? icon

Google

$61,884 Vol.

Nein

Wird OpenAI am Ende März 2026 das zweitbeste KI-Modell haben? icon

OpenAI

$94,253 Vol.

Nein

Wird Z.ai am Ende März 2026 das zweitbeste KI-Modell haben? icon

Z.ai

$26,374 Vol.

Nein

Wird DeepSeek am Ende März 2026 das zweitbeste KI-Modell haben? icon

DeepSeek

$98,583 Vol.

Nein

Wird Mistral Ende März 2026 das zweitbeste KI-Modell haben? icon

Mistral

$112,098 Vol.

Nein

Wird Anthropic am Ende März 2026 das zweitbeste KI-Modell haben? icon

Anthropic

$63,459 Vol.

Ja

Wird Alibaba am Ende März 2026 das zweitbeste KI-Modell haben? icon

Alibaba

$26,158 Vol.

Nein

Wird xAI Ende März 2026 das zweitbeste KI-Modell haben? icon

xAI

$28,244 Vol.

Nein

Wird Moonshot am Ende März 2026 das zweitbeste KI-Modell haben? icon

Moonshot

$62,170 Vol.

Nein

Wird Meituan am Ende März 2026 das zweitbeste KI-Modell haben? icon

Meituan

$17,300 Vol.

Nein

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic as the company behind the #2 AI model on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard at the end of March 2026, with Claude Opus 4.6 holding second place at 1503 Elo—just 2 points behind Google's leading Gemini 3.1 Pro—while xAI's Grok-4.20 trails further. This positioning stems from Anthropic's recent Claude enhancements, including expanded context windows, advanced tool calling, and agentic features like auto-planning and code review, solidifying its competitive edge in crowdsourced benchmarks over the past month. The near-unanimous 100% implied probability reflects the leaderboard's stability in late March, backed by real capital from informed traders. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen late-month model update from Google or xAI surpassing Claude's demonstrated capabilities before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$590,523
Enddatum
31. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic as the company behind the #2 AI model on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard at the end of March 2026, with Claude Opus 4.6 holding second place at 1503 Elo—just 2 points behind Google's leading Gemini 3.1 Pro—while xAI's Grok-4.20 trails further. This positioning stems from Anthropic's recent Claude enhancements, including expanded context windows, advanced tool calling, and agentic features like auto-planning and code review, solidifying its competitive edge in crowdsourced benchmarks over the past month. The near-unanimous 100% implied probability reflects the leaderboard's stability in late March, backed by real capital from informed traders. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen late-month model update from Google or xAI surpassing Claude's demonstrated capabilities before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$590,523
Enddatum
31. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das KI-Modell Nr.2? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Anthropic" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Google" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das KI-Modell Nr.2? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $590.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 2, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das KI-Modell Nr.2? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das KI-Modell Nr.2? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" ist „Anthropic" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Google" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende März das KI-Modell Nr.2? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.