Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for "Other (incl $SPCX)" as SpaceX's public ticker, propelled by Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas's assessment that Elon Musk likely secured $SPCX after Tuttle Capital's SPAC ETF changed from $SPCX to $SPCK in early April. This follows SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing for a blockbuster Nasdaq IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and June pricing, with employee share vesting accelerated as a key signal of proximity. $X holds 38.5% on branding synergy with Musk's X platform, though odds have softened amid SPCX momentum. Traders eye the public S-1 filing, expected late May, for ticker confirmation amid rapid space sector developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAndere (inkl. $SPCX) 57.0%
$X 38%
$SPAX 3.2%
$SX 1.1%
$5,640,336 Vol.
$5,640,336 Vol.
Andere (inkl. $SPCX)
57%
$X
38%
$SPAX
3%
$SX
1%
$SPACE
1%
$MARS
1%
$SEX
1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
Andere (inkl. $SPCX) 57.0%
$X 38%
$SPAX 3.2%
$SX 1.1%
$5,640,336 Vol.
$5,640,336 Vol.
Andere (inkl. $SPCX)
57%
$X
38%
$SPAX
3%
$SX
1%
$SPACE
1%
$MARS
1%
$SEX
1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 57% implied probability for "Other (incl $SPCX)" as SpaceX's public ticker, propelled by Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas's assessment that Elon Musk likely secured $SPCX after Tuttle Capital's SPAC ETF changed from $SPCX to $SPCK in early April. This follows SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing for a blockbuster Nasdaq IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and June pricing, with employee share vesting accelerated as a key signal of proximity. $X holds 38.5% on branding synergy with Musk's X platform, though odds have softened amid SPCX momentum. Traders eye the public S-1 filing, expected late May, for ticker confirmation amid rapid space sector developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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