Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Other (incl $SPCX)" at 60.3% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by last week's key development: Tuttle Capital Management's abrupt change of its SPAC ETF ticker from $SPCX to $SPCK on April 10, freeing the symbol and sparking speculation from Bloomberg analysts Eric Balchunas and Will Hershey that Elon Musk's team acquired it for the anticipated IPO. This edges out $X at 33%, buoyed by Musk's affinity for the letter—evident in his X platform and the February merger of SpaceX with xAI into a unified rocket-AI powerhouse—but tempered by no official confirmation amid the confidential S-1 filing reported April 1. Lower-odds options like $SPAX reflect meme-driven bets, while Starship V3 test flights loom as milestones ahead of listing, underscoring SpaceX's reusable launch dominance and Starlink satellite broadband expansion.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAndere (inkl. $SPCX) 60.3%
$X 33%
$SPAX 3.3%
$SEX 1.8%
$5,034,627 Vol.
$5,034,627 Vol.
Andere (inkl. $SPCX)
60%
$X
33%
$SPAX
3%
$SEX
2%
$SPACE
1%
$SX
1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
$MARS
<1%
Andere (inkl. $SPCX) 60.3%
$X 33%
$SPAX 3.3%
$SEX 1.8%
$5,034,627 Vol.
$5,034,627 Vol.
Andere (inkl. $SPCX)
60%
$X
33%
$SPAX
3%
$SEX
2%
$SPACE
1%
$SX
1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
$MARS
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Other (incl $SPCX)" at 60.3% implied probability for SpaceX's public ticker, driven by last week's key development: Tuttle Capital Management's abrupt change of its SPAC ETF ticker from $SPCX to $SPCK on April 10, freeing the symbol and sparking speculation from Bloomberg analysts Eric Balchunas and Will Hershey that Elon Musk's team acquired it for the anticipated IPO. This edges out $X at 33%, buoyed by Musk's affinity for the letter—evident in his X platform and the February merger of SpaceX with xAI into a unified rocket-AI powerhouse—but tempered by no official confirmation amid the confidential S-1 filing reported April 1. Lower-odds options like $SPAX reflect meme-driven bets, while Starship V3 test flights loom as milestones ahead of listing, underscoring SpaceX's reusable launch dominance and Starlink satellite broadband expansion.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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