Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability, propelled by Reuters reports in March 2026 revealing the company's pursuit of early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion through newly revised exchange rules that accelerate eligibility to 15 days post-IPO. This structural advantage promises immediate passive inflows from trillions in index-tracking funds, enhancing liquidity for the blockbuster June debut following SpaceX's confidential April SEC filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation. Elon Musk's successful Tesla NASDAQ history reinforces this tilt, while NYSE lingers at 0.9% absent comparable signals. Watch for the public S-1 filing and early June roadshow, which could confirm resolution criteria amid SpaceX's ongoing Starship milestones and Starlink expansion.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNASDAQ 90%
Andere 6.6%
NYSE <1%
$94,959 Vol.
$94,959 Vol.
NASDAQ
90%
Andere
7%
NYSE
1%
NASDAQ 90%
Andere 6.6%
NYSE <1%
$94,959 Vol.
$94,959 Vol.
NASDAQ
$18,535 Vol.
90%
Andere
$57,881 Vol.
7%
NYSE
$18,544 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability, propelled by Reuters reports in March 2026 revealing the company's pursuit of early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion through newly revised exchange rules that accelerate eligibility to 15 days post-IPO. This structural advantage promises immediate passive inflows from trillions in index-tracking funds, enhancing liquidity for the blockbuster June debut following SpaceX's confidential April SEC filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation. Elon Musk's successful Tesla NASDAQ history reinforces this tilt, while NYSE lingers at 0.9% absent comparable signals. Watch for the public S-1 filing and early June roadshow, which could confirm resolution criteria amid SpaceX's ongoing Starship milestones and Starlink expansion.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volumen
$94,959Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability, propelled by Reuters reports in March 2026 revealing the company's pursuit of early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion through newly revised exchange rules that accelerate eligibility to 15 days post-IPO. This structural advantage promises immediate passive inflows from trillions in index-tracking funds, enhancing liquidity for the blockbuster June debut following SpaceX's confidential April SEC filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation. Elon Musk's successful Tesla NASDAQ history reinforces this tilt, while NYSE lingers at 0.9% absent comparable signals. Watch for the public S-1 filing and early June roadshow, which could confirm resolution criteria amid SpaceX's ongoing Starship milestones and Starlink expansion.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$94,959Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a NASDAQ listing for SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability, propelled by Reuters reports in March 2026 revealing the company's pursuit of early Nasdaq-100 index inclusion through newly revised exchange rules that accelerate eligibility to 15 days post-IPO. This structural advantage promises immediate passive inflows from trillions in index-tracking funds, enhancing liquidity for the blockbuster June debut following SpaceX's confidential April SEC filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation. Elon Musk's successful Tesla NASDAQ history reinforces this tilt, while NYSE lingers at 0.9% absent comparable signals. Watch for the public S-1 filing and early June roadshow, which could confirm resolution criteria amid SpaceX's ongoing Starship milestones and Starlink expansion.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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