The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has maintained its benchmark Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) unchanged at 3.00% for one-year loans and 3.50% for five-year loans since its April 20 announcement—the 11th consecutive month without adjustment—aligning with trader consensus amid robust first-quarter GDP growth meeting policy targets. The 7-day reverse repo rate, the market's key policy benchmark, has held steady at 1.4% through daily open market operations, including recent medium-term lending facility (MLF) injections. Global banks like Goldman Sachs and Nomura recently withdrew 2026 rate-cut forecasts following a restrained Politburo statement on April 28, solidifying no-change positioning to 100%. A last-minute policy reversal before April 30 close remains theoretically possible but faces high barriers given economic stability and procedural norms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertZinsänderung der People's Bank of China im April?
Zinsänderung der People's Bank of China im April?
Keine Änderung 100.0%
Erhöhung <1%
Senkung <1%
$61,590 Vol.
$61,590 Vol.
Erhöhung
Nein
Keine Änderung
Ja
Senkung
Nein
Keine Änderung 100.0%
Erhöhung <1%
Senkung <1%
$61,590 Vol.
$61,590 Vol.
Erhöhung
Nein
Keine Änderung
Ja
Senkung
Nein
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 31, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has maintained its benchmark Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) unchanged at 3.00% for one-year loans and 3.50% for five-year loans since its April 20 announcement—the 11th consecutive month without adjustment—aligning with trader consensus amid robust first-quarter GDP growth meeting policy targets. The 7-day reverse repo rate, the market's key policy benchmark, has held steady at 1.4% through daily open market operations, including recent medium-term lending facility (MLF) injections. Global banks like Goldman Sachs and Nomura recently withdrew 2026 rate-cut forecasts following a restrained Politburo statement on April 28, solidifying no-change positioning to 100%. A last-minute policy reversal before April 30 close remains theoretically possible but faces high barriers given economic stability and procedural norms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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