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Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on April 30?

>567k 29%

555 - 558k 20%

552 - 555k 17%

558 - 561k 17%

Polymarket
NEU

>567k 29%

555 - 558k 20%

552 - 555k 17%

558 - 561k 17%

Polymarket
NEU

<549k

$431 Vol.

10%

549 - 552k

$0 Vol.

12%

552 - 555k

$0 Vol.

17%

555 - 558k

$0 Vol.

20%

558 - 561k

$0 Vol.

17%

561 - 564k

$0 Vol.

12%

564 - 567k

$0 Vol.

7%

>567k

$138 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among mid-550k bins for DC Metro median home value on April 30, with the 555-558k range leading at 19.5% implied probability, reflecting stabilization after February's Zillow ZHVI typical value of $572k dipped 0.3% year-over-year amid federal workforce uncertainty and persistent 6%+ mortgage rates. Surging spring buyer activity—new listings up, pending sales accelerating—offsets rising inventory (12k+ homes for sale) and softening median sale prices around $540-585k per Zillow and local MLS reports, creating balanced dynamics. Key swing factors include March Parcl Labs data release and potential rate relief from upcoming FOMC signals, with historical monthly volatility under 1% keeping outcomes closely contested.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)
Volumen
$569
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among mid-550k bins for DC Metro median home value on April 30, with the 555-558k range leading at 19.5% implied probability, reflecting stabilization after February's Zillow ZHVI typical value of $572k dipped 0.3% year-over-year amid federal workforce uncertainty and persistent 6%+ mortgage rates. Surging spring buyer activity—new listings up, pending sales accelerating—offsets rising inventory (12k+ homes for sale) and softening median sale prices around $540-585k per Zillow and local MLS reports, creating balanced dynamics. Key swing factors include March Parcl Labs data release and potential rate relief from upcoming FOMC signals, with historical monthly volatility under 1% keeping outcomes closely contested.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)
Volumen
$569
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on April 30?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „>567k" mit 28%, gefolgt von „555 - 558k" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 28¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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