Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head continue to constrain domestic beef production, with 2026 output forecast down roughly 2% from 2025 amid slow herd rebuilding. This supply tightness, combined with robust consumer demand and elevated feed costs, underpins USDA projections for 9.4–12.1% retail beef price gains this year, pushing ground beef averages above $8 per pound in recent months. Lean imports are rising to support ground beef blending, yet overall market-implied odds reflect persistent upward pressure on prices through year-end. Key near-term catalysts include monthly USDA livestock reports and feed grain price movements that could alter slaughter pace or feeding margins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Hackfleisch im Jahr 2026 __ erreichen?
Wird Hackfleisch im Jahr 2026 __ erreichen?
$19,725 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
$7.000+
75%
8.000 $+
54%
$9.000+
47%
10.000$+
20%
$19,725 Vol.
$7.000+
$50 Vol.
75%
8.000 $+
$1,573 Vol.
54%
$9.000+
$62 Vol.
47%
10.000$+
$18,041 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head continue to constrain domestic beef production, with 2026 output forecast down roughly 2% from 2025 amid slow herd rebuilding. This supply tightness, combined with robust consumer demand and elevated feed costs, underpins USDA projections for 9.4–12.1% retail beef price gains this year, pushing ground beef averages above $8 per pound in recent months. Lean imports are rising to support ground beef blending, yet overall market-implied odds reflect persistent upward pressure on prices through year-end. Key near-term catalysts include monthly USDA livestock reports and feed grain price movements that could alter slaughter pace or feeding margins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$19,725Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head continue to constrain domestic beef production, with 2026 output forecast down roughly 2% from 2025 amid slow herd rebuilding. This supply tightness, combined with robust consumer demand and elevated feed costs, underpins USDA projections for 9.4–12.1% retail beef price gains this year, pushing ground beef averages above $8 per pound in recent months. Lean imports are rising to support ground beef blending, yet overall market-implied odds reflect persistent upward pressure on prices through year-end. Key near-term catalysts include monthly USDA livestock reports and feed grain price movements that could alter slaughter pace or feeding margins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$19,725Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head continue to constrain domestic beef production, with 2026 output forecast down roughly 2% from 2025 amid slow herd rebuilding. This supply tightness, combined with robust consumer demand and elevated feed costs, underpins USDA projections for 9.4–12.1% retail beef price gains this year, pushing ground beef averages above $8 per pound in recent months. Lean imports are rising to support ground beef blending, yet overall market-implied odds reflect persistent upward pressure on prices through year-end. Key near-term catalysts include monthly USDA livestock reports and feed grain price movements that could alter slaughter pace or feeding margins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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