Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in the closely contested 20-29.9% range, with 25-29.9% leading at 28.5% implied probability and 20-24.9% at 25.5%, reflecting uncertainty over President Milei's disinflation trajectory amid sticky monthly consumer price index (CPI) readings. February 2026 CPI rose 2.9% month-over-month—stable from January but above the 2.7-2.8% median forecast—pushing annual inflation to 33.1% from 31.5% at end-2025, pressured by higher energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions. Central bank surveys project 26% year-end inflation, while BBVA Research revised to 24%, balancing fiscal austerity gains against economic slowdown risks. Key swing factor: March CPI data, due mid-April, with estimates near 3%; sustained 2-3% monthly readings could favor lower bins if base effects accelerate convergence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert25–29,9 % 28%
20-24,9 % 25%
30,0-34,9 % 21.6%
35–39,9 % 11.5%
NEU
NEU
10. Jan. 2027
<20%
6%
20-24,9 %
25%
25–29,9 %
28%
30,0-34,9 %
22%
35–39,9 %
11%
40–44,9 %
11%
45 %+
8%
25–29,9 % 28%
20-24,9 % 25%
30,0-34,9 % 21.6%
35–39,9 % 11.5%
NEU
NEU
10. Jan. 2027
<20%
$0 Vol.
6%
20-24,9 %
$416 Vol.
25%
25–29,9 %
$0 Vol.
28%
30,0-34,9 %
$367 Vol.
22%
35–39,9 %
$409 Vol.
11%
40–44,9 %
$572 Vol.
11%
45 %+
$878 Vol.
8%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in the closely contested 20-29.9% range, with 25-29.9% leading at 28.5% implied probability and 20-24.9% at 25.5%, reflecting uncertainty over President Milei's disinflation trajectory amid sticky monthly consumer price index (CPI) readings. February 2026 CPI rose 2.9% month-over-month—stable from January but above the 2.7-2.8% median forecast—pushing annual inflation to 33.1% from 31.5% at end-2025, pressured by higher energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions. Central bank surveys project 26% year-end inflation, while BBVA Research revised to 24%, balancing fiscal austerity gains against economic slowdown risks. Key swing factor: March CPI data, due mid-April, with estimates near 3%; sustained 2-3% monthly readings could favor lower bins if base effects accelerate convergence.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volumen
$2,642Enddatum
10. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in the closely contested 20-29.9% range, with 25-29.9% leading at 28.5% implied probability and 20-24.9% at 25.5%, reflecting uncertainty over President Milei's disinflation trajectory amid sticky monthly consumer price index (CPI) readings. February 2026 CPI rose 2.9% month-over-month—stable from January but above the 2.7-2.8% median forecast—pushing annual inflation to 33.1% from 31.5% at end-2025, pressured by higher energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions. Central bank surveys project 26% year-end inflation, while BBVA Research revised to 24%, balancing fiscal austerity gains against economic slowdown risks. Key swing factor: March CPI data, due mid-April, with estimates near 3%; sustained 2-3% monthly readings could favor lower bins if base effects accelerate convergence.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$2,642Enddatum
10. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in the closely contested 20-29.9% range, with 25-29.9% leading at 28.5% implied probability and 20-24.9% at 25.5%, reflecting uncertainty over President Milei's disinflation trajectory amid sticky monthly consumer price index (CPI) readings. February 2026 CPI rose 2.9% month-over-month—stable from January but above the 2.7-2.8% median forecast—pushing annual inflation to 33.1% from 31.5% at end-2025, pressured by higher energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions. Central bank surveys project 26% year-end inflation, while BBVA Research revised to 24%, balancing fiscal austerity gains against economic slowdown risks. Key swing factor: March CPI data, due mid-April, with estimates near 3%; sustained 2-3% monthly readings could favor lower bins if base effects accelerate convergence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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