Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest tilt toward South Korea's 2026 annual CPI exceeding 3.0% at 35% implied probability, narrowly ahead of the 2.7-2.9% bin at 31.1%, reflecting competitive dynamics driven by upside energy risks offsetting Bank of Korea (BOK) anchoring. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below 2.4% forecasts—buoyed by oil prices amid Middle East tensions, though government petroleum caps limited the surge; core inflation eased to 2.2%. BOK held its policy rate at 2.50% on April 11, projecting 2.2% annual CPI, while IMF (2.5%), OECD (2.7%), and AMRO (2.3%) forecasts signal higher trajectories from global commodity pressures. Key swing factors include April CPI (due early May) and sustained oil volatility above $85/barrel.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert3,0 %+ 35%
2,7 % bis 2,9 % 30.0%
1,5 % bis 1,7 % 23%
1,8 % bis 2,0 % 20%
$10,596 Vol.
$10,596 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
<1,5 %
9%
1,5 % bis 1,7 %
23%
1,8 % bis 2,0 %
19%
2,1 % bis 2,3 %
21%
2,4 % bis 2,6 %
19%
2,7 % bis 2,9 %
30%
3,0 %+
35%
3,0 %+ 35%
2,7 % bis 2,9 % 30.0%
1,5 % bis 1,7 % 23%
1,8 % bis 2,0 % 20%
$10,596 Vol.
$10,596 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
<1,5 %
$950 Vol.
9%
1,5 % bis 1,7 %
$952 Vol.
23%
1,8 % bis 2,0 %
$103 Vol.
19%
2,1 % bis 2,3 %
$154 Vol.
21%
2,4 % bis 2,6 %
$143 Vol.
19%
2,7 % bis 2,9 %
$99 Vol.
30%
3,0 %+
$8,196 Vol.
35%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest tilt toward South Korea's 2026 annual CPI exceeding 3.0% at 35% implied probability, narrowly ahead of the 2.7-2.9% bin at 31.1%, reflecting competitive dynamics driven by upside energy risks offsetting Bank of Korea (BOK) anchoring. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below 2.4% forecasts—buoyed by oil prices amid Middle East tensions, though government petroleum caps limited the surge; core inflation eased to 2.2%. BOK held its policy rate at 2.50% on April 11, projecting 2.2% annual CPI, while IMF (2.5%), OECD (2.7%), and AMRO (2.3%) forecasts signal higher trajectories from global commodity pressures. Key swing factors include April CPI (due early May) and sustained oil volatility above $85/barrel.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Markt eröffnet: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$10,596Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest tilt toward South Korea's 2026 annual CPI exceeding 3.0% at 35% implied probability, narrowly ahead of the 2.7-2.9% bin at 31.1%, reflecting competitive dynamics driven by upside energy risks offsetting Bank of Korea (BOK) anchoring. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below 2.4% forecasts—buoyed by oil prices amid Middle East tensions, though government petroleum caps limited the surge; core inflation eased to 2.2%. BOK held its policy rate at 2.50% on April 11, projecting 2.2% annual CPI, while IMF (2.5%), OECD (2.7%), and AMRO (2.3%) forecasts signal higher trajectories from global commodity pressures. Key swing factors include April CPI (due early May) and sustained oil volatility above $85/barrel.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volumen
$10,596Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest tilt toward South Korea's 2026 annual CPI exceeding 3.0% at 35% implied probability, narrowly ahead of the 2.7-2.9% bin at 31.1%, reflecting competitive dynamics driven by upside energy risks offsetting Bank of Korea (BOK) anchoring. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below 2.4% forecasts—buoyed by oil prices amid Middle East tensions, though government petroleum caps limited the surge; core inflation eased to 2.2%. BOK held its policy rate at 2.50% on April 11, projecting 2.2% annual CPI, while IMF (2.5%), OECD (2.7%), and AMRO (2.3%) forecasts signal higher trajectories from global commodity pressures. Key swing factors include April CPI (due early May) and sustained oil volatility above $85/barrel.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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