Polymarket traders price South Korea's 2026 annual inflation tightly clustered below 2%, with <1.5% at 33.7%, 1.5%-1.7% at 29.0%, and 1.8%-2.0% at 31.5%, reflecting consensus for sustained disinflation amid Bank of Korea's dovish pivot. September 2024 CPI printed at 1.6% YoY—below the 2% target—driven by cooling food and energy prices, weak domestic demand from a construction slump, and a firm Korean won. BOK's October rate cut to 3.25% and 2025 forecast of 1.9% bolster undershoot odds, though fiscal stimulus risks and potential commodity rebounds could differentiate toward 2% bins; watch November CPI and Q4 GDP for resolution cues.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert2,4 % bis 2,6 % 25%
3,0 %+ 9%
2,7 % bis 2,9 % 3%
<1,5 % 0
<1,5 %
33%
1,5 % bis 1,7 %
29%
1,8 % bis 2,0 %
31%
2,1 % bis 2,3 %
41%
2,4 % bis 2,6 %
25%
2,7 % bis 2,9 %
19%
3,0 %+
9%
2,4 % bis 2,6 % 25%
3,0 %+ 9%
2,7 % bis 2,9 % 3%
<1,5 % 0
<1,5 %
33%
1,5 % bis 1,7 %
29%
1,8 % bis 2,0 %
31%
2,1 % bis 2,3 %
41%
2,4 % bis 2,6 %
25%
2,7 % bis 2,9 %
19%
3,0 %+
9%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Markt eröffnet: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price South Korea's 2026 annual inflation tightly clustered below 2%, with <1.5% at 33.7%, 1.5%-1.7% at 29.0%, and 1.8%-2.0% at 31.5%, reflecting consensus for sustained disinflation amid Bank of Korea's dovish pivot. September 2024 CPI printed at 1.6% YoY—below the 2% target—driven by cooling food and energy prices, weak domestic demand from a construction slump, and a firm Korean won. BOK's October rate cut to 3.25% and 2025 forecast of 1.9% bolster undershoot odds, though fiscal stimulus risks and potential commodity rebounds could differentiate toward 2% bins; watch November CPI and Q4 GDP for resolution cues.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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