Trader consensus stands at 96.7% against Kevin Warsh's Fed Chair nomination being withdrawn by May 15, anchored by the complete absence of any official nomination from President-elect Trump to date. Post-election rumors have positioned Warsh as a leading contender to replace Jerome Powell, whose term runs through May 2026, but transition discussions have yielded no announcements amid focus on cabinet selections and economic policy signals. The procedural reality—nomination precedes any withdrawal—combined with the January 20 inauguration timeline, underpins high confidence in "No." Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise nomination followed by swift Senate opposition, personal withdrawal, or legal challenges, though traders see these as improbable before the deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$61,591 Vol.
$61,591 Vol.
May 15, 2026
Ja
$61,591 Vol.
$61,591 Vol.
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus stands at 96.7% against Kevin Warsh's Fed Chair nomination being withdrawn by May 15, anchored by the complete absence of any official nomination from President-elect Trump to date. Post-election rumors have positioned Warsh as a leading contender to replace Jerome Powell, whose term runs through May 2026, but transition discussions have yielded no announcements amid focus on cabinet selections and economic policy signals. The procedural reality—nomination precedes any withdrawal—combined with the January 20 inauguration timeline, underpins high confidence in "No." Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise nomination followed by swift Senate opposition, personal withdrawal, or legal challenges, though traders see these as improbable before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
Volumen
$61,591Enddatum
May 15, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus stands at 96.7% against Kevin Warsh's Fed Chair nomination being withdrawn by May 15, anchored by the complete absence of any official nomination from President-elect Trump to date. Post-election rumors have positioned Warsh as a leading contender to replace Jerome Powell, whose term runs through May 2026, but transition discussions have yielded no announcements amid focus on cabinet selections and economic policy signals. The procedural reality—nomination precedes any withdrawal—combined with the January 20 inauguration timeline, underpins high confidence in "No." Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise nomination followed by swift Senate opposition, personal withdrawal, or legal challenges, though traders see these as improbable before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$61,591Enddatum
May 15, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus stands at 96.7% against Kevin Warsh's Fed Chair nomination being withdrawn by May 15, anchored by the complete absence of any official nomination from President-elect Trump to date. Post-election rumors have positioned Warsh as a leading contender to replace Jerome Powell, whose term runs through May 2026, but transition discussions have yielded no announcements amid focus on cabinet selections and economic policy signals. The procedural reality—nomination precedes any withdrawal—combined with the January 20 inauguration timeline, underpins high confidence in "No." Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise nomination followed by swift Senate opposition, personal withdrawal, or legal challenges, though traders see these as improbable before the deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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