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Wie hoch wird die Rendite zehnjähriger Staatsanleihen bis zum 31. März ausfallen?

Market icon

Wie hoch wird die Rendite zehnjähriger Staatsanleihen bis zum 31. März ausfallen?

$102,548 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$102,548 Vol.

Polymarket

4,4 %

$24,349 Vol.

3%

4,5 %

$34,775 Vol.

1%

4,6 %

$6,193 Vol.

1%

4,8 %

$8,824 Vol.

<1%

5,0 %

$9,248 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Volumen
$102,548
Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026
Erstellt am
Dec 9, 2025, 2:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Wie hoch wird die Rendite zehnjähriger Staatsanleihen bis zum 31. März ausfallen?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4,3 %" at 100%, followed by "4,4 %" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wie hoch wird die Rendite zehnjähriger Staatsanleihen bis zum 31. März ausfallen?" has generated $102.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wie hoch wird die Rendite zehnjähriger Staatsanleihen bis zum 31. März ausfallen?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wie hoch wird die Rendite zehnjähriger Staatsanleihen bis zum 31. März ausfallen?" is "4,3 %" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4,4 %" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wie hoch wird die Rendite zehnjähriger Staatsanleihen bis zum 31. März ausfallen?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.