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Politik·Trump

Kevin Warsh als Fed-Vorsitzender bestätigt von...?

Market icon
Politik·Trump

Kevin Warsh als Fed-Vorsitzender bestätigt von...?

$408,534 Vol.

May 15, 2026
Polymarket

$408,534 Vol.

Polymarket

1. Mai

$277,584 Vol.

11%

15. Mai

$130,949 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not formally nominated a successor to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term runs until May 2026, keeping markets focused on speculative candidates like former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh. Warsh, who served from 2006 to 2011 advocating tighter monetary policy amid the financial crisis, has gained traction in recent transition reporting as Trump signals intent to replace Powell over policy differences. Senate confirmation requires a majority vote, now feasible with Republican control post-election, but no hearings are scheduled. Key upcoming events include Trump's January 20, 2025 inauguration and potential early cabinet-style announcements, alongside Powell's response to replacement pressure, which could clarify Warsh's path or pivot to alternatives like Scott Bessent.

President-elect Donald Trump has not formally nominated a successor to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term runs until May 2026, keeping markets focused on speculative candidates like former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh. Warsh, who served from 2006 to 2011 advocating tighter monetary policy amid the financial crisis, has gained traction in recent transition reporting as Trump signals intent to replace Powell over policy differences. Senate confirmation requires a majority vote, now feasible with Republican control post-election, but no hearings are scheduled. Key upcoming events include Trump's January 20, 2025 inauguration and potential early cabinet-style announcements, alongside Powell's response to replacement pressure, which could clarify Warsh's path or pivot to alternatives like Scott Bessent.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not formally nominated a successor to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term runs until May 2026, keeping markets focused on speculative candidates like former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh. Warsh, who served from 2006 to 2011 advocating tighter monetary policy amid the financial crisis, has gained traction in recent transition reporting as Trump signals intent to replace Powell over policy differences. Senate confirmation requires a majority vote, now feasible with Republican control post-election, but no hearings are scheduled. Key upcoming events include Trump's January 20, 2025 inauguration and potential early cabinet-style announcements, alongside Powell's response to replacement pressure, which could clarify Warsh's path or pivot to alternatives like Scott Bessent.

President-elect Donald Trump has not formally nominated a successor to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term runs until May 2026, keeping markets focused on speculative candidates like former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh. Warsh, who served from 2006 to 2011 advocating tighter monetary policy amid the financial crisis, has gained traction in recent transition reporting as Trump signals intent to replace Powell over policy differences. Senate confirmation requires a majority vote, now feasible with Republican control post-election, but no hearings are scheduled. Key upcoming events include Trump's January 20, 2025 inauguration and potential early cabinet-style announcements, alongside Powell's response to replacement pressure, which could clarify Warsh's path or pivot to alternatives like Scott Bessent.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Kevin Warsh als Fed-Vorsitzender bestätigt von...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „15. Mai" mit 51%, gefolgt von „1. Mai" mit 11%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 51¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 51% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Kevin Warsh als Fed-Vorsitzender bestätigt von...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $408.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 30, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Kevin Warsh als Fed-Vorsitzender bestätigt von...?" ist „15. Mai" mit 51%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 51% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „1. Mai" mit 11%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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