The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, triggered by congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, extended beyond March 31 after the Senate's March 27 bill—excluding those operations—failed in the House, and a rival House continuing resolution stalled in the Senate. With both chambers in recess until April 13-14, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus (100%) that resolution falls after March 31, driven by repeated blocked proposals and no floor votes in the final days. President Trump's executive order paying TSA workers mitigated some airport chaos but did not end the lapse. Realistic challenges include a surprise bipartisan deal upon reconvening or further executive action, though historical shutdown patterns suggest prolonged stalemate absent compromise on reforms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWann endet die DHS-Abschaltung?
Wann endet die DHS-Abschaltung?
Nach dem 31. März 100.0%
Vor dem 16. Februar <1%
16.–19. Februar <1%
20.–23. Februar <1%
$1,667,440 Vol.
$1,667,440 Vol.
Vor dem 16. Februar
Nein
16.–19. Februar
Nein
20.–23. Februar
Nein
24.–27. Februar
Nein
28. Februar–3. März
Nein
4.–7. März
Nein
8.–11. März
Nein
12.–15. März
Nein
16.–19. März
Nein
20.–23. März
Nein
24.–27. März
Nein
28.–31. März
Nein
Nach dem 31. März
Ja
Nach dem 31. März 100.0%
Vor dem 16. Februar <1%
16.–19. Februar <1%
20.–23. Februar <1%
$1,667,440 Vol.
$1,667,440 Vol.
Vor dem 16. Februar
Nein
16.–19. Februar
Nein
20.–23. Februar
Nein
24.–27. Februar
Nein
28. Februar–3. März
Nein
4.–7. März
Nein
8.–11. März
Nein
12.–15. März
Nein
16.–19. März
Nein
20.–23. März
Nein
24.–27. März
Nein
28.–31. März
Nein
Nach dem 31. März
Ja
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 15, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, triggered by congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, extended beyond March 31 after the Senate's March 27 bill—excluding those operations—failed in the House, and a rival House continuing resolution stalled in the Senate. With both chambers in recess until April 13-14, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus (100%) that resolution falls after March 31, driven by repeated blocked proposals and no floor votes in the final days. President Trump's executive order paying TSA workers mitigated some airport chaos but did not end the lapse. Realistic challenges include a surprise bipartisan deal upon reconvening or further executive action, though historical shutdown patterns suggest prolonged stalemate absent compromise on reforms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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