The U.S. economy's resilience, with April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year from a 17.9% energy price surge amid Middle East tensions and unemployment steady near 4.3%, underpins the 88.5% market-implied odds against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027. After holding the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in the April 29 FOMC decision, officials signaled caution on persistent price pressures and low recession risks, reinforcing a higher-for-longer stance. Traders view scheduled meetings and incoming May-June inflation and employment data, plus the June 16-17 dot plot update, as the primary channels for any policy shift rather than unscheduled intermeeting action.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$105,255 Vol.
$105,255 Vol.
Ja
$105,255 Vol.
$105,255 Vol.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. economy's resilience, with April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year from a 17.9% energy price surge amid Middle East tensions and unemployment steady near 4.3%, underpins the 88.5% market-implied odds against an emergency Federal Reserve rate cut before 2027. After holding the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% in the April 29 FOMC decision, officials signaled caution on persistent price pressures and low recession risks, reinforcing a higher-for-longer stance. Traders view scheduled meetings and incoming May-June inflation and employment data, plus the June 16-17 dot plot update, as the primary channels for any policy shift rather than unscheduled intermeeting action.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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