OpenAI’s recent engagement with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to prepare a confidential IPO filing as soon as this week has shifted trader sentiment, establishing a 75.5% implied probability it will reach public markets ahead of Anthropic. The company, creator of the ChatGPT large language model, aims for readiness by September or late 2026 while advancing its public benefit corporation structure and retail-share allocation plans. Anthropic continues advancing toward an October or broader Q4 2026 window at a roughly $900 billion valuation, but lacks comparable recent acceleration in filing preparations. Key near-term catalysts include market conditions, final prospectus details, and any regulatory or competitive developments that could alter the race between the two leading artificial intelligence labs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAnthropic
$62,302 Vol.
$62,302 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
Anthropic
$62,302 Vol.
$62,302 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s recent engagement with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to prepare a confidential IPO filing as soon as this week has shifted trader sentiment, establishing a 75.5% implied probability it will reach public markets ahead of Anthropic. The company, creator of the ChatGPT large language model, aims for readiness by September or late 2026 while advancing its public benefit corporation structure and retail-share allocation plans. Anthropic continues advancing toward an October or broader Q4 2026 window at a roughly $900 billion valuation, but lacks comparable recent acceleration in filing preparations. Key near-term catalysts include market conditions, final prospectus details, and any regulatory or competitive developments that could alter the race between the two leading artificial intelligence labs.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volumen
$62,302Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s recent engagement with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to prepare a confidential IPO filing as soon as this week has shifted trader sentiment, establishing a 75.5% implied probability it will reach public markets ahead of Anthropic. The company, creator of the ChatGPT large language model, aims for readiness by September or late 2026 while advancing its public benefit corporation structure and retail-share allocation plans. Anthropic continues advancing toward an October or broader Q4 2026 window at a roughly $900 billion valuation, but lacks comparable recent acceleration in filing preparations. Key near-term catalysts include market conditions, final prospectus details, and any regulatory or competitive developments that could alter the race between the two leading artificial intelligence labs.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$62,302Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s recent engagement with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to prepare a confidential IPO filing as soon as this week has shifted trader sentiment, establishing a 75.5% implied probability it will reach public markets ahead of Anthropic. The company, creator of the ChatGPT large language model, aims for readiness by September or late 2026 while advancing its public benefit corporation structure and retail-share allocation plans. Anthropic continues advancing toward an October or broader Q4 2026 window at a roughly $900 billion valuation, but lacks comparable recent acceleration in filing preparations. Key near-term catalysts include market conditions, final prospectus details, and any regulatory or competitive developments that could alter the race between the two leading artificial intelligence labs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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