OpenAI's accelerated preparations for a confidential IPO filing in the coming weeks, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on a draft S-1 prospectus, have driven the 76% market-implied odds favoring it to list before Anthropic. Recent resolution of a high-profile lawsuit from Elon Musk has removed a key legal overhang, while OpenAI expands its finance team amid surging revenue from its GPT large language models and ChatGPT platform. Anthropic continues advancing toward a potential October or later fourth-quarter 2026 debut at valuations near $900 billion but lags in formal regulatory steps and faces heavier near-term compute costs that could affect profitability milestones. Traders are monitoring any September listing window or further capital raises as near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAnthropic
$62,229 Vol.
$62,229 Vol.
Anthropic
$62,229 Vol.
$62,229 Vol.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's accelerated preparations for a confidential IPO filing in the coming weeks, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on a draft S-1 prospectus, have driven the 76% market-implied odds favoring it to list before Anthropic. Recent resolution of a high-profile lawsuit from Elon Musk has removed a key legal overhang, while OpenAI expands its finance team amid surging revenue from its GPT large language models and ChatGPT platform. Anthropic continues advancing toward a potential October or later fourth-quarter 2026 debut at valuations near $900 billion but lags in formal regulatory steps and faces heavier near-term compute costs that could affect profitability milestones. Traders are monitoring any September listing window or further capital raises as near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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