SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential SEC filing and earlier merger with xAI that fused rocket technology, Starlink satellite internet, and artificial intelligence capabilities into a combined entity valued over $1.25 trillion. This positions the post-merger SpaceX for a potential record $1.75-2 trillion debut mid-year, dwarfing rivals amid booming demand for space-AI infrastructure like orbital data centers. xAI holds 25.5% odds reflecting merger integration risks or standalone speculation, while OpenAI (3.4%) and Anthropic (3.4%) trail despite their own H2 2026 IPO groundwork, as no comparable filings have materialized. Traders eye June-July listing timelines, though regulatory reviews or technical delays could shift dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSpaceX 90%
OpenAI 3.4%
Anthropic 3.4%
Discord 1.8%
$1,719,712 Vol.
$1,719,712 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
SpaceX
90%
OpenAI
3%
Anthropic
3%
Discord
2%
Databricks
1%
Stripe
1%
Kraken
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 3.4%
Anthropic 3.4%
Discord 1.8%
$1,719,712 Vol.
$1,719,712 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
SpaceX
$210,800 Vol.
90%
OpenAI
$309,612 Vol.
3%
Anthropic
$348,655 Vol.
3%
Discord
$74,701 Vol.
2%
Databricks
$73,449 Vol.
1%
Stripe
$41,554 Vol.
1%
Kraken
$377,007 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$87,862 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$55,887 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$57,803 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$49,755 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$32,628 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential SEC filing and earlier merger with xAI that fused rocket technology, Starlink satellite internet, and artificial intelligence capabilities into a combined entity valued over $1.25 trillion. This positions the post-merger SpaceX for a potential record $1.75-2 trillion debut mid-year, dwarfing rivals amid booming demand for space-AI infrastructure like orbital data centers. xAI holds 25.5% odds reflecting merger integration risks or standalone speculation, while OpenAI (3.4%) and Anthropic (3.4%) trail despite their own H2 2026 IPO groundwork, as no comparable filings have materialized. Traders eye June-July listing timelines, though regulatory reviews or technical delays could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volumen
$1,719,712Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential SEC filing and earlier merger with xAI that fused rocket technology, Starlink satellite internet, and artificial intelligence capabilities into a combined entity valued over $1.25 trillion. This positions the post-merger SpaceX for a potential record $1.75-2 trillion debut mid-year, dwarfing rivals amid booming demand for space-AI infrastructure like orbital data centers. xAI holds 25.5% odds reflecting merger integration risks or standalone speculation, while OpenAI (3.4%) and Anthropic (3.4%) trail despite their own H2 2026 IPO groundwork, as no comparable filings have materialized. Traders eye June-July listing timelines, though regulatory reviews or technical delays could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,719,712Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, propelled by its April 1 confidential SEC filing and earlier merger with xAI that fused rocket technology, Starlink satellite internet, and artificial intelligence capabilities into a combined entity valued over $1.25 trillion. This positions the post-merger SpaceX for a potential record $1.75-2 trillion debut mid-year, dwarfing rivals amid booming demand for space-AI infrastructure like orbital data centers. xAI holds 25.5% odds reflecting merger integration risks or standalone speculation, while OpenAI (3.4%) and Anthropic (3.4%) trail despite their own H2 2026 IPO groundwork, as no comparable filings have materialized. Traders eye June-July listing timelines, though regulatory reviews or technical delays could shift dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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