Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, driven by elevated energy prices amid the Middle East conflict, have reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range through the remainder of 2026. Resilient labor market conditions and upward revisions to inflation forecasts by major banks have shifted the market-implied rate path toward a higher-for-longer stance, with futures pricing only modest odds of any move this year. The April FOMC statement highlighted persistent upside inflation risks, while the June meeting—with updated economic projections and incoming Chair Kevin Warsh—remains a key near-term catalyst that could further anchor consensus around steady policy absent significant labor market softening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$1,303,169 Vol.
$1,303,169 Vol.
9. Dez. 2026
Ja
$1,303,169 Vol.
$1,303,169 Vol.
9. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, driven by elevated energy prices amid the Middle East conflict, have reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range through the remainder of 2026. Resilient labor market conditions and upward revisions to inflation forecasts by major banks have shifted the market-implied rate path toward a higher-for-longer stance, with futures pricing only modest odds of any move this year. The April FOMC statement highlighted persistent upside inflation risks, while the June meeting—with updated economic projections and incoming Chair Kevin Warsh—remains a key near-term catalyst that could further anchor consensus around steady policy absent significant labor market softening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Volumen
$1,303,169Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, driven by elevated energy prices amid the Middle East conflict, have reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range through the remainder of 2026. Resilient labor market conditions and upward revisions to inflation forecasts by major banks have shifted the market-implied rate path toward a higher-for-longer stance, with futures pricing only modest odds of any move this year. The April FOMC statement highlighted persistent upside inflation risks, while the June meeting—with updated economic projections and incoming Chair Kevin Warsh—remains a key near-term catalyst that could further anchor consensus around steady policy absent significant labor market softening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,303,169Enddatum
9. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings, driven by elevated energy prices amid the Middle East conflict, have reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range through the remainder of 2026. Resilient labor market conditions and upward revisions to inflation forecasts by major banks have shifted the market-implied rate path toward a higher-for-longer stance, with futures pricing only modest odds of any move this year. The April FOMC statement highlighted persistent upside inflation risks, while the June meeting—with updated economic projections and incoming Chair Kevin Warsh—remains a key near-term catalyst that could further anchor consensus around steady policy absent significant labor market softening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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