The Federal Reserve has held its federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through the April 29, 2026 FOMC meeting amid resilient labor market conditions and a pickup in inflation pressures. April CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3% in March and the highest reading since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions. This data, combined with market-implied expectations of limited further easing, has elevated trader focus on the potential for a 25-basis-point hike later in 2026 or into 2027, though futures pricing still assigns low probability to near-term tightening. The next policy decision arrives June 16-17 alongside fresh dot-plot projections, while the May CPI release on June 10 and employment figures will provide key inputs for assessing whether upside inflation risks warrant a shift in the policy stance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$153,584 Vol.

Junisitzung
1%

Julisitzung
3%

September-Treffen
25%

Oktobersitzung
29%
$153,584 Vol.

Junisitzung
1%

Julisitzung
3%

September-Treffen
25%

Oktobersitzung
29%
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve has held its federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through the April 29, 2026 FOMC meeting amid resilient labor market conditions and a pickup in inflation pressures. April CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year—up from 3.3% in March and the highest reading since May 2023—driven by a 17.9% surge in energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions. This data, combined with market-implied expectations of limited further easing, has elevated trader focus on the potential for a 25-basis-point hike later in 2026 or into 2027, though futures pricing still assigns low probability to near-term tightening. The next policy decision arrives June 16-17 alongside fresh dot-plot projections, while the May CPI release on June 10 and employment figures will provide key inputs for assessing whether upside inflation risks warrant a shift in the policy stance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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