Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 is priced with 3.1%+ as the leading outcome at 58.2% amid the primary driver of energy price spikes from the Middle East conflict, which lifted the May 2026 reading to 3.2% from 3.0% in April and produced sharp upward revisions in professional forecasts to 2.7%. The ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters shifted its 2026 projection higher by nearly a full percentage point in the Q2 2026 round, reflecting persistent energy inflation near 10.9% and some broadening into core measures at 2.5%. Market-implied odds also assign 34.5% to sub-1.0% readings, underscoring uncertainty over whether the shock remains transitory or feeds into second-round effects ahead of the ECB’s June policy meeting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJährliche Inflation der Eurozone 2026
3,1 %+ 58.2%
1,6–1,8 % 30.1%
2,5–2,7 % 20.3%
1,9–2,1 % 5.2%
$13,237 Vol.
$13,237 Vol.
<1,0 %
40%
1,0–1,2 %
4%
1,3–1,5 %
5%
1,6–1,8 %
30%
1,9–2,1 %
5%
2,2–2,4 %
4%
2,5–2,7 %
20%
2,8-3,0 %
5%
3,1 %+
58%
3,1 %+ 58.2%
1,6–1,8 % 30.1%
2,5–2,7 % 20.3%
1,9–2,1 % 5.2%
$13,237 Vol.
$13,237 Vol.
<1,0 %
40%
1,0–1,2 %
4%
1,3–1,5 %
5%
1,6–1,8 %
30%
1,9–2,1 %
5%
2,2–2,4 %
4%
2,5–2,7 %
20%
2,8-3,0 %
5%
3,1 %+
58%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Markt eröffnet: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone annual HICP inflation for 2026 is priced with 3.1%+ as the leading outcome at 58.2% amid the primary driver of energy price spikes from the Middle East conflict, which lifted the May 2026 reading to 3.2% from 3.0% in April and produced sharp upward revisions in professional forecasts to 2.7%. The ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters shifted its 2026 projection higher by nearly a full percentage point in the Q2 2026 round, reflecting persistent energy inflation near 10.9% and some broadening into core measures at 2.5%. Market-implied odds also assign 34.5% to sub-1.0% readings, underscoring uncertainty over whether the shock remains transitory or feeds into second-round effects ahead of the ECB’s June policy meeting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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