Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price March nonfarm payrolls for a modest rebound to around 50k-60k jobs added—aligning with consensus forecasts from Bloomberg and Trading Economics—after February's surprise -92k decline signaled labor market softening. Implied probabilities are tightly contested, with 100k+ at 27.5%, 50k-100k at 23%, and 0-50k at 22%, reflecting mixed signals: JOLTS job openings fell sharply to 6.9 million in February amid low hiring, offset by stable initial jobless claims near 210k and ISM services employment at 51.8 indicating slight expansion. Key swing factors include ADP private payroll trends and potential revisions. The BLS report releases April 3 at 8:30 a.m. ET, poised to shape Fed funds rate cut expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWie viele Arbeitsplätze wurden im März hinzugefügt?
Wie viele Arbeitsplätze wurden im März hinzugefügt?
100k+ 28%
50.000 – 100.000 23%
0 – 50 Tsd. 22%
-50k – 0 12%
$17,433 Vol.
$17,433 Vol.
<-150k
3%
-150k – -100k
4%
-100.000 – -50.000
2%
-50k – 0
12%
0 – 50 Tsd.
22%
50.000 – 100.000
23%
100k+
28%
100k+ 28%
50.000 – 100.000 23%
0 – 50 Tsd. 22%
-50k – 0 12%
$17,433 Vol.
$17,433 Vol.
<-150k
3%
-150k – -100k
4%
-100.000 – -50.000
2%
-50k – 0
12%
0 – 50 Tsd.
22%
50.000 – 100.000
23%
100k+
28%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Markt eröffnet: Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price March nonfarm payrolls for a modest rebound to around 50k-60k jobs added—aligning with consensus forecasts from Bloomberg and Trading Economics—after February's surprise -92k decline signaled labor market softening. Implied probabilities are tightly contested, with 100k+ at 27.5%, 50k-100k at 23%, and 0-50k at 22%, reflecting mixed signals: JOLTS job openings fell sharply to 6.9 million in February amid low hiring, offset by stable initial jobless claims near 210k and ISM services employment at 51.8 indicating slight expansion. Key swing factors include ADP private payroll trends and potential revisions. The BLS report releases April 3 at 8:30 a.m. ET, poised to shape Fed funds rate cut expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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