Trader consensus on Polymarket implies an 81% probability of tech layoffs rising in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by aggressive AI-driven restructuring across Big Tech. Q1 alone saw over 80,000 cuts—the highest quarterly total since 2023—pushing year-to-date figures past 120,000 per trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp, already surpassing 2025's full-year pace of around 165,000. Recent catalysts include Cloudflare's May announcement of 1,100 AI-obsoleted roles despite record revenue, Meta's 8,000-job (10%) reduction in April, and Snap's 16% workforce slash, as firms redirect capital to AI infrastructure amid slowing growth. Upcoming Q2 earnings from Microsoft and Amazon could accelerate the trend, though economic rebound or hiring freezes might temper it.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSteigen
$25,123 Vol.
$25,123 Vol.
28. Feb. 2027
Steigen
$25,123 Vol.
$25,123 Vol.
28. Feb. 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies an 81% probability of tech layoffs rising in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by aggressive AI-driven restructuring across Big Tech. Q1 alone saw over 80,000 cuts—the highest quarterly total since 2023—pushing year-to-date figures past 120,000 per trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp, already surpassing 2025's full-year pace of around 165,000. Recent catalysts include Cloudflare's May announcement of 1,100 AI-obsoleted roles despite record revenue, Meta's 8,000-job (10%) reduction in April, and Snap's 16% workforce slash, as firms redirect capital to AI infrastructure amid slowing growth. Upcoming Q2 earnings from Microsoft and Amazon could accelerate the trend, though economic rebound or hiring freezes might temper it.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volumen
$25,123Enddatum
28. Feb. 2027Markt eröffnet
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies an 81% probability of tech layoffs rising in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by aggressive AI-driven restructuring across Big Tech. Q1 alone saw over 80,000 cuts—the highest quarterly total since 2023—pushing year-to-date figures past 120,000 per trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp, already surpassing 2025's full-year pace of around 165,000. Recent catalysts include Cloudflare's May announcement of 1,100 AI-obsoleted roles despite record revenue, Meta's 8,000-job (10%) reduction in April, and Snap's 16% workforce slash, as firms redirect capital to AI infrastructure amid slowing growth. Upcoming Q2 earnings from Microsoft and Amazon could accelerate the trend, though economic rebound or hiring freezes might temper it.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$25,123Enddatum
28. Feb. 2027Markt eröffnet
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies an 81% probability of tech layoffs rising in 2026 versus 2025, fueled by aggressive AI-driven restructuring across Big Tech. Q1 alone saw over 80,000 cuts—the highest quarterly total since 2023—pushing year-to-date figures past 120,000 per trackers like Layoffs.fyi and TrueUp, already surpassing 2025's full-year pace of around 165,000. Recent catalysts include Cloudflare's May announcement of 1,100 AI-obsoleted roles despite record revenue, Meta's 8,000-job (10%) reduction in April, and Snap's 16% workforce slash, as firms redirect capital to AI infrastructure amid slowing growth. Upcoming Q2 earnings from Microsoft and Amazon could accelerate the trend, though economic rebound or hiring freezes might temper it.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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