Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors the $2.25–2.50 per dozen bin at 65.5% implied probability for the March 2026 national average retail egg price, reflecting a sustained supply rebound from highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) disruptions that peaked in 2025. Bureau of Labor Statistics data pegged February's average at $2.50 per dozen, down 57% year-over-year, as egg production rose 4.6% amid minimal 2026 HPAI losses and no new outbreaks reported in USDA's April 3 Egg Markets Overview. Wholesale prices for loose Large eggs plunged to $0.46 per dozen nationally, with a lower undertone, signaling further retail softening despite Easter demand; the next bin at $2.50–2.75 (18.5%) captures upside risk from seasonal factors. Traders eye the BLS March CPI release on April 10 for resolution-defining confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPrice of Dozen Eggs in March?
Price of Dozen Eggs in March?
$2.25–2.50 66%
$2.50–2.75 19%
$2.00–2.25 7.0%
$2.75–3.00 1.8%
$397,862 Vol.
$397,862 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
7%
$2.25–2.50
66%
$2.50–2.75
19%
$2.75–3.00
2%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 66%
$2.50–2.75 19%
$2.00–2.25 7.0%
$2.75–3.00 1.8%
$397,862 Vol.
$397,862 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
7%
$2.25–2.50
66%
$2.50–2.75
19%
$2.75–3.00
2%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors the $2.25–2.50 per dozen bin at 65.5% implied probability for the March 2026 national average retail egg price, reflecting a sustained supply rebound from highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) disruptions that peaked in 2025. Bureau of Labor Statistics data pegged February's average at $2.50 per dozen, down 57% year-over-year, as egg production rose 4.6% amid minimal 2026 HPAI losses and no new outbreaks reported in USDA's April 3 Egg Markets Overview. Wholesale prices for loose Large eggs plunged to $0.46 per dozen nationally, with a lower undertone, signaling further retail softening despite Easter demand; the next bin at $2.50–2.75 (18.5%) captures upside risk from seasonal factors. Traders eye the BLS March CPI release on April 10 for resolution-defining confirmation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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