Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

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Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

22%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

22%

$33m Vol.

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Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

52%

Kevin Warsh

25%

Kevin Hassett

52%

Kevin Warsh

25%

$69m Vol.

Survivor 49 Winner card icon

Survivor 49 Winner

Savannah Louie

100%

Sophie Segreti

<1%

Savannah Louie

100%

Sophie Segreti

<1%

$729k Vol.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

13%

Anthony Joshua

86%

Jake Paul

13%

Anthony Joshua

86%

$5m Vol.

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor card icon

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

80%

Tate

$392k Vol.

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 18

3%

December 19

49%

December 18

3%

December 19

49%

$7m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

5%

January 31, 2026

19%

December 31, 2025

5%

January 31, 2026

19%

$28m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026 card icon

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

$625m Vol.

Brown University shooter arrested by...? card icon

Brown University shooter arrested by...?

December 19

20%

December 31

55%

December 19

20%

December 31

55%

$159k Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

67%

>$2B

56%

>$1B

67%

>$2B

56%

$27m Vol.

NFL MVP card icon

NFL MVP

Matthew Stafford

70%

Josh Allen

15%

Matthew Stafford

70%

Josh Allen

15%

$2m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

18%

Susie Wiles

18%

Kristi Noem

18%

Susie Wiles

18%

$295k Vol.

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Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...? card icon

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

December 31

36%

January 31

68%

December 31

36%

January 31

68%

$660k Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 23

8%

December 31

14%

December 23

8%

December 31

14%

$40m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

3%

chance

$58m Vol.

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2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner card icon

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner

Sam Soverel

100%

Jason Koon

<1%

Sam Soverel

100%

Jason Koon

<1%

$234m Vol.