Trader consensus prices "No" at 92.5% for a U.S. invasion of Greenland in 2026, reflecting insurmountable geopolitical barriers as Denmark's autonomous territory and a NATO ally, where military action would trigger Article 5 collective defense obligations. No recent official statements, diplomatic tensions, or military posturing from the incoming Trump administration signal invasion intent; past interest focused on negotiated acquisition for Arctic resources rather than force. Absent extraordinary escalation like territorial disputes or security crises, traders dismiss the scenario as implausible, with resolution tied to confirmed U.S. military invasion by year-end. Late-breaking foreign policy shifts remain the sole potential disruptors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$1,250,307 交易量
$1,250,307 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
是
$1,250,307 交易量
$1,250,307 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 5, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
交易量
$1,250,307结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,250,307结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 92.5% for a U.S. invasion of Greenland in 2026, reflecting insurmountable geopolitical barriers as Denmark's autonomous territory and a NATO ally, where military action would trigger Article 5 collective defense obligations. No recent official statements, diplomatic tensions, or military posturing from the incoming Trump administration signal invasion intent; past interest focused on negotiated acquisition for Arctic resources rather than force. Absent extraordinary escalation like territorial disputes or security crises, traders dismiss the scenario as implausible, with resolution tied to confirmed U.S. military invasion by year-end. Late-breaking foreign policy shifts remain the sole potential disruptors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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