Market icon
科技·Elon Musk

特斯拉会在6月30日之前在加州推出机器人出租车吗？

Market icon
科技·Elon Musk

特斯拉会在6月30日之前在加州推出机器人出租车吗？

Jun 30

Jun 30

是

15% chance
Polymarket

$76,817 交易量

是

15% chance
Polymarket

$76,817 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$76,817
结束日期
Jun 30, 2026
市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$76,817
结束日期
Jun 30, 2026
市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特斯拉会在6月30日之前在加州推出机器人出租车吗？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特斯拉会在6月30日前在加州推出自动驾驶出租车吗？"，概率为 15%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 15¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 15%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"特斯拉会在6月30日之前在加州推出机器人出租车吗？"已产生 $76.8K 的总交易量（自Nov 12, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特斯拉会在6月30日之前在加州推出机器人出租车吗？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特斯拉会在6月30日之前在加州推出机器人出租车吗？"的当前领先者是"特斯拉会在6月30日前在加州推出自动驾驶出租车吗？"，概率为 15%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 15%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特斯拉会在6月30日之前在加州推出机器人出租车吗？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。