Canada's Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) released its 2025-2027 Immigration Levels Plan on November 1, sharply cutting permanent resident targets to 395,000 in 2025 and 380,000 in 2026—down over 20% from prior peaks—alongside caps on international students and temporary workers to ease housing and infrastructure pressures. Statistics Canada data through October 2024 shows quarterly population growth slowing to 0.1-0.2%, the weakest since the 1950s, driven by negative natural increase offset by net migration. Analyst projections, including from RBC Economics, forecast continued modest growth of 0.3-0.5% in 2026, avoiding an outright decline unprecedented in Canadian history. Traders price "No" at 56.5%, betting policy curbs slow but do not reverse expansion amid economic migration needs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2027
是
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) released its 2025-2027 Immigration Levels Plan on November 1, sharply cutting permanent resident targets to 395,000 in 2025 and 380,000 in 2026—down over 20% from prior peaks—alongside caps on international students and temporary workers to ease housing and infrastructure pressures. Statistics Canada data through October 2024 shows quarterly population growth slowing to 0.1-0.2%, the weakest since the 1950s, driven by negative natural increase offset by net migration. Analyst projections, including from RBC Economics, forecast continued modest growth of 0.3-0.5% in 2026, avoiding an outright decline unprecedented in Canadian history. Traders price "No" at 56.5%, betting policy curbs slow but do not reverse expansion amid economic migration needs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Apr 30, 2027市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) released its 2025-2027 Immigration Levels Plan on November 1, sharply cutting permanent resident targets to 395,000 in 2025 and 380,000 in 2026—down over 20% from prior peaks—alongside caps on international students and temporary workers to ease housing and infrastructure pressures. Statistics Canada data through October 2024 shows quarterly population growth slowing to 0.1-0.2%, the weakest since the 1950s, driven by negative natural increase offset by net migration. Analyst projections, including from RBC Economics, forecast continued modest growth of 0.3-0.5% in 2026, avoiding an outright decline unprecedented in Canadian history. Traders price "No" at 56.5%, betting policy curbs slow but do not reverse expansion amid economic migration needs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$0结束日期
Apr 30, 2027市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) released its 2025-2027 Immigration Levels Plan on November 1, sharply cutting permanent resident targets to 395,000 in 2025 and 380,000 in 2026—down over 20% from prior peaks—alongside caps on international students and temporary workers to ease housing and infrastructure pressures. Statistics Canada data through October 2024 shows quarterly population growth slowing to 0.1-0.2%, the weakest since the 1950s, driven by negative natural increase offset by net migration. Analyst projections, including from RBC Economics, forecast continued modest growth of 0.3-0.5% in 2026, avoiding an outright decline unprecedented in Canadian history. Traders price "No" at 56.5%, betting policy curbs slow but do not reverse expansion amid economic migration needs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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