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科技·AI

Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

Market icon
科技·AI

Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

$5,427 交易量

Dec 5, 2025
Polymarket

$5,427 交易量

Polymarket

Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT)

$353 交易量

No

Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$1,000)

$240 交易量

No

Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$100)

$2,738 交易量

No

Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$10)

$2,095 交易量

No

The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).

The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify.

If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).
交易量
$5,427
结束日期
Dec 5, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 24, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT)"，概率为 0%，其次是"Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$1,000)"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 0¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Nov 24, 2025上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?"的当前领先者是"Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT)"，仅有 0%，"Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$1,000)"紧随其后为 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势，交易者认为这高度不确定，可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新，请将本页加入书签。

"Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。