Market icon

谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉?

Market icon

谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉?

$62,005 交易量

Polymarket

$62,005 交易量

Polymarket

迪诺拉·菲格拉

$0 交易量

马尔科·卢比奥

$8,552 交易量

Pete Hegseth

$1,775 交易量

JD Vance

$1,717 交易量

约翰·拉特克利夫

$3,618 交易量

埃马纽埃尔·马克龙

$3,445 交易量

基尔·斯塔默

$3,001 交易量

卡罗琳·利维特

$0 交易量

拉里·芬克

$0 交易量

埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯·乌鲁蒂亚

$0 交易量

玛丽亚·科丽娜·马查多

$18,777 交易量

查尔斯·迈耶斯

$1,329 交易量

理查德·格雷内尔

$637 交易量

Dan Caine

$1,170 交易量

贾里德·库什纳

$1,016 交易量

唐纳德·特朗普

$3,189 交易量

尼古拉斯·马杜罗

$13,780 交易量

Jamie Dimon

$0 交易量

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the US military operation in early 2026 that removed Nicolás Maduro from power, diplomatic ties rapidly thawed, with the US and Venezuela agreeing in March to restore full relations and reopening the embassy in Caracas on March 30—just before the market deadline. US charge d'affaires Laura Dogu arrived in February to spearhead normalization, while business delegations from Wall Street firms scouted energy and infrastructure opportunities in late March, hosted by acting president Delcy Rodríguez. These developments drove trader sentiment toward Trump administration figures like Richard Grenell, Marco Rubio, and Pete Hegseth as likely visitors, reflecting momentum for engagement during the interim government's transition, though no such high-profile trips materialized by March 31.

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$62,005
市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the US military operation in early 2026 that removed Nicolás Maduro from power, diplomatic ties rapidly thawed, with the US and Venezuela agreeing in March to restore full relations and reopening the embassy in Caracas on March 30—just before the market deadline. US charge d'affaires Laura Dogu arrived in February to spearhead normalization, while business delegations from Wall Street firms scouted energy and infrastructure opportunities in late March, hosted by acting president Delcy Rodríguez. These developments drove trader sentiment toward Trump administration figures like Richard Grenell, Marco Rubio, and Pete Hegseth as likely visitors, reflecting momentum for engagement during the interim government's transition, though no such high-profile trips materialized by March 31.

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$62,005
市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 18 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"约翰·拉特克利夫",概率为 100%,其次是"查尔斯·迈耶斯",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉?"已产生 $62K 的总交易量(自Jan 4, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 18 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉?"的当前领先者是"约翰·拉特克利夫",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"查尔斯·迈耶斯",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在3月31日前访问委内瑞拉?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。