Market icon

Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?

Market icon

Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?

Other 99.6%

Mike Waltz <1%

Tom Cotton <1%

Mike Pompeo <1%

Polymarket

$353,317 交易量

Other 99.6%

Mike Waltz <1%

Tom Cotton <1%

Mike Pompeo <1%

Polymarket

$353,317 交易量

Market icon

Mike Waltz

$73,869 交易量

No

Market icon

Tom Cotton

$45,727 交易量

No

Market icon

Mike Pompeo

$89,416 交易量

No

Market icon

Christopher Miller

$44,950 交易量

No

Market icon

Robert O’Brien

$40,699 交易量

No

Market icon

Mike Gallagher

$33,605 交易量

No

Market icon

Other

$2,200 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Joni Ernst

$22,852 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Waltz for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Tom Cotton for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Pompeo for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Christopher Miller for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Robert O’Brien for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Gallagher for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates someone other than any of the named candidates in the group for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve at the time of Trump's nomination, at which point if the nominee is none of the named candidates in this market's group, it will resolve to "Yes." This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Joni Ernst for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Waltz for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$353,317
结束日期
Jun 30, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 6, 2024, 3:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Waltz for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Waltz for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Tom Cotton for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Pompeo for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Christopher Miller for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Robert O’Brien for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Mike Gallagher for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates someone other than any of the named candidates in the group for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve at the time of Trump's nomination, at which point if the nominee is none of the named candidates in this market's group, it will resolve to "Yes." This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump nominates Joni Ernst for US Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first nomination for this position - if Trump nominates another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Other",概率为 100%,其次是"Mike Waltz",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?"已产生 $353.3K 的总交易量(自Nov 6, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?"的当前领先者是"Other",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Mike Waltz",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。