Market icon

Who will gain more in polls after the debate?

Kamala

>99% chance

$176,127 交易量

规则

This market is on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will gain more in the polls one week after the presidential debate, scheduled for September 10, 2024.

The resolution will be based on the Fivethirtyeight daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national.

The market will resolve according to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling average data points for Trump and Harris on September 17th, once Fivethirtyeight has published data points for September 18th.

If Kamala's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Kamala".

If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".

If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.

If the presidential debate is canceled, postponed beyond September 10, 2024 ET, or otherwise does not take place on September 10, the market will resolve to 50-50.
交易量
$176,127
结束日期
Sep 17, 2024
创建于
Sep 3, 2024, 5:47 PM ET

已提议结果: Kamala

无争议

最终结果: Kamala

注意外部链接。

Market icon

Who will gain more in polls after the debate?

Kamala

>99% chance

$176,127 交易量

关于

This market is on whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump will gain more in the polls one week after the presidential debate, scheduled for September 10, 2024.

The resolution will be based on the Fivethirtyeight daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national.

The market will resolve according to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling average data points for Trump and Harris on September 17th, once Fivethirtyeight has published data points for September 18th.

If Kamala's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Kamala".

If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".

If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.

If the presidential debate is canceled, postponed beyond September 10, 2024 ET, or otherwise does not take place on September 10, the market will resolve to 50-50.
交易量
$176,127
结束日期
Sep 17, 2024
创建于
Sep 3, 2024, 5:47 PM ET

已提议结果: Kamala

无争议

最终结果: Kamala

注意外部链接。