California's top-two primary system for the March 3, 2026 gubernatorial election advances the two leading vote-getters regardless of party, favoring strong Democratic contenders in the deep-blue state. Recent UC Berkeley polling from late October shows former Rep. Katie Porter atop the field at 17% among likely voters, followed by ex-Senate President pro Tem Toni Atkins at 13%, with over 50% undecided amid a fragmented 20+ candidate roster. Porter's October campaign launch, robust fundraising exceeding $2 million early, and national profile have propelled her lead, while Atkins draws on legislative tenure. Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco paces Republicans under 5% statewide. High undecideds signal fluidity, with signature filing deadlines in early 2025 and potential entrants like Kamala Harris ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$201,938 交易量
伊莱恩·库洛蒂
94%
埃里克·斯沃威尔
72%
史蒂夫·希尔顿
56%
查德·比安科
36%
汤姆·斯泰尔
26%
马特·马汉
20%
凯蒂·波特
21%
Ché Ahn
12%
哈维尔·贝塞拉
8%
贝蒂·易
6%
托尼·瑟蒙德
5%
伊桑·阿加瓦尔
5%
瑞安·蒂尔曼
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
吉米·帕克
4%
迪兰·科尔伯特
3%
安东尼奥·维拉莱戈萨
3%
丹尼尔·梅库里
3%
妮琪·米娜
3%
德里克·格雷斯蒂
3%
Leo Zacky
2%
大卫·塞尔帕
2%
贾文·艾伦
12%
伦纳德·杰克逊
2%
Raji Rab
2%
卡罗丽娜·布勒
2%
凯尔·兰福德
2%
尼古拉斯·汤普森
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
拉姆齐·鲁宾逊
1%
布兰登·琼斯
1%
伊恩·卡尔德隆
1%
佐尔坦·伊斯特万
1%
大卫·西伦
1%
索菲亚·布林克
1%
$201,938 交易量
伊莱恩·库洛蒂
94%
埃里克·斯沃威尔
72%
史蒂夫·希尔顿
56%
查德·比安科
36%
汤姆·斯泰尔
26%
马特·马汉
20%
凯蒂·波特
21%
Ché Ahn
12%
哈维尔·贝塞拉
8%
贝蒂·易
6%
托尼·瑟蒙德
5%
伊桑·阿加瓦尔
5%
瑞安·蒂尔曼
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
吉米·帕克
4%
迪兰·科尔伯特
3%
安东尼奥·维拉莱戈萨
3%
丹尼尔·梅库里
3%
妮琪·米娜
3%
德里克·格雷斯蒂
3%
Leo Zacky
2%
大卫·塞尔帕
2%
贾文·艾伦
12%
伦纳德·杰克逊
2%
Raji Rab
2%
卡罗丽娜·布勒
2%
凯尔·兰福德
2%
尼古拉斯·汤普森
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Thunder Parley
2%
拉姆齐·鲁宾逊
1%
布兰登·琼斯
1%
伊恩·卡尔德隆
1%
佐尔坦·伊斯特万
1%
大卫·西伦
1%
索菲亚·布林克
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
市场开放时间: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's top-two primary system for the March 3, 2026 gubernatorial election advances the two leading vote-getters regardless of party, favoring strong Democratic contenders in the deep-blue state. Recent UC Berkeley polling from late October shows former Rep. Katie Porter atop the field at 17% among likely voters, followed by ex-Senate President pro Tem Toni Atkins at 13%, with over 50% undecided amid a fragmented 20+ candidate roster. Porter's October campaign launch, robust fundraising exceeding $2 million early, and national profile have propelled her lead, while Atkins draws on legislative tenure. Riverside Sheriff Chad Bianco paces Republicans under 5% statewide. High undecideds signal fluidity, with signature filing deadlines in early 2025 and potential entrants like Kamala Harris ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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