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政治·特朗普

谁去过爱泼斯坦岛？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

谁去过爱泼斯坦岛？

$1,588,779 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$1,588,779 交易量

Polymarket

理查德·布兰森

$51,252 交易量

23%

凯文·史派西

$27,785 交易量

14%

伍迪·艾伦

$12,762 交易量

14%

史蒂夫·班农

$57,832 交易量

13%

史蒂文·蒂施

$4,728 交易量

11%

迪帕克·乔普拉

$11,327 交易量

10%

比尔·考斯比

$8,860 交易量

5%

比尔·盖茨

$98,999 交易量

5%

诺姆·乔姆斯基

$25,088 交易量

5%

哈维·温斯坦

$18,526 交易量

5%

迈克尔·杰克逊

$153,736 交易量

5%

比尔·克林顿

$260,100 交易量

5%

希拉里·克林顿

$39,789 交易量

4%

唐纳德·特朗普

$131,927 交易量

3%

彼得·阿蒂亚

$6,969 交易量

3%

Jay-Z

$576,649 交易量

3%

埃隆·马斯克

$80,807 交易量

2%

马尔科·鲁比奥

$21,645 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability—24%—to Richard Branson visiting Epstein's Little St. James island, followed by Kevin Spacey and Woody Allen at 15% each, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments amid stringent resolution rules requiring public flight logs, photos, videos, court records, sworn testimony, or self-admission by June 30, 2026. The U.S. Department of Justice's February 2026 release of over three million Epstein files under Attorney General Pam Bondi, fulfilling congressional transparency mandates, mentioned high-profile figures in emails and contacts but yielded no new confirmatory island evidence for leading outcomes, tempering odds despite prior associations. No major developments in the past 30 days; traders eye potential congressional hearings or additional disclosures before deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,588,779
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability—24%—to Richard Branson visiting Epstein's Little St. James island, followed by Kevin Spacey and Woody Allen at 15% each, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments amid stringent resolution rules requiring public flight logs, photos, videos, court records, sworn testimony, or self-admission by June 30, 2026. The U.S. Department of Justice's February 2026 release of over three million Epstein files under Attorney General Pam Bondi, fulfilling congressional transparency mandates, mentioned high-profile figures in emails and contacts but yielded no new confirmatory island evidence for leading outcomes, tempering odds despite prior associations. No major developments in the past 30 days; traders eye potential congressional hearings or additional disclosures before deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,588,779
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁去过爱泼斯坦岛？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 18 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"理查德·布兰森"，概率为 23%，其次是"凯文·史派西"，概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 23¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 23%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"谁去过爱泼斯坦岛？"已产生 $1.6 million 的总交易量（自Feb 12, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁去过爱泼斯坦岛？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 18 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁去过爱泼斯坦岛？"的当前领先者是"理查德·布兰森"，概率为 23%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 23%。紧随其后的结果是"凯文·史派西"，概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁去过爱泼斯坦岛？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。