President Trump's April 1, 2026, primetime address to the nation provided the first major White House update on the month-old U.S.-Israeli war against Iran under Operation Epic Fury, following Iranian missile barrages on Israel and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global oil chokepoint. Announced days earlier amid oil prices spiking above $100 per barrel and Trump's denied claim of an Iranian ceasefire request, the speech shaped trader consensus on escalation risks versus de-escalation signals. Trump stated core objectives are nearing completion with possible U.S. withdrawal in 2-3 weeks, but vowed "extremely hard" airstrikes on Iranian energy infrastructure if the Strait stays blocked, calling on allies to reopen it. No immediate follow-up events scheduled, though congressional funding votes loom on related security operations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$2,340,912 交易量
2026-04-01
上帝三次以上
是
石油 / 天然气 3次以上
是
“Objective” / “Goal”3次以上
是
史诗狂怒行动
是
MAGA / 让美国再次伟大
否
代理人 / 真主党
是
比比 / 内塔尼亚胡
否
停火 / 和平协议
否
六七
否
霍尔木兹
是
哈梅内伊 / 霍梅尼
否
Kharg / 岛
否
以实力求和平
否
假新闻
否
消灭 / 消灭行动
是
任务完成
否
加密货币 / 比特币
否
北约
否
核
是
政权更迭
是
国会
否
万斯 / 鲁比奥
否
Qatar
Yes
Obama
Yes
April Fool / April Fool's
No
Holy / Evil
Yes
Sacrifice
No
-无符合条件的事件-
否
$2,340,912 交易量
上帝三次以上
$46,286 交易量
是
石油 / 天然气 3次以上
$54,135 交易量
是
“Objective” / “Goal”3次以上
$19,875 交易量
是
史诗狂怒行动
$86,377 交易量
是
MAGA / 让美国再次伟大
$38,059 交易量
否
代理人 / 真主党
$35,257 交易量
是
比比 / 内塔尼亚胡
$60,102 交易量
否
停火 / 和平协议
$101,663 交易量
否
六七
$68,982 交易量
否
霍尔木兹
$146,676 交易量
是
哈梅内伊 / 霍梅尼
$40,940 交易量
否
Kharg / 岛
$53,243 交易量
否
以实力求和平
$15,045 交易量
否
假新闻
$53,758 交易量
否
消灭 / 消灭行动
$17,495 交易量
是
任务完成
$48,249 交易量
否
加密货币 / 比特币
$809,322 交易量
否
北约
$165,146 交易量
否
核
$125,725 交易量
是
政权更迭
$51,161 交易量
是
国会
$6,340 交易量
否
万斯 / 鲁比奥
$9,166 交易量
否
Qatar
$4,662 交易量
Yes
Obama
$17,107 交易量
Yes
April Fool / April Fool's
$145,191 交易量
No
Holy / Evil
$1,397 交易量
Yes
Sacrifice
$16,086 交易量
No
-无符合条件的事件-
$103,467 交易量
否
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump's April 1, 2026, primetime address to the nation provided the first major White House update on the month-old U.S.-Israeli war against Iran under Operation Epic Fury, following Iranian missile barrages on Israel and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global oil chokepoint. Announced days earlier amid oil prices spiking above $100 per barrel and Trump's denied claim of an Iranian ceasefire request, the speech shaped trader consensus on escalation risks versus de-escalation signals. Trump stated core objectives are nearing completion with possible U.S. withdrawal in 2-3 weeks, but vowed "extremely hard" airstrikes on Iranian energy infrastructure if the Strait stays blocked, calling on allies to reopen it. No immediate follow-up events scheduled, though congressional funding votes loom on related security operations.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 11:10 PM ET
交易量
$2,340,912结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 11:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump's April 1, 2026, primetime address to the nation provided the first major White House update on the month-old U.S.-Israeli war against Iran under Operation Epic Fury, following Iranian missile barrages on Israel and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global oil chokepoint. Announced days earlier amid oil prices spiking above $100 per barrel and Trump's denied claim of an Iranian ceasefire request, the speech shaped trader consensus on escalation risks versus de-escalation signals. Trump stated core objectives are nearing completion with possible U.S. withdrawal in 2-3 weeks, but vowed "extremely hard" airstrikes on Iranian energy infrastructure if the Strait stays blocked, calling on allies to reopen it. No immediate follow-up events scheduled, though congressional funding votes loom on related security operations.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,340,912结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 11:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
President Trump's April 1, 2026, primetime address to the nation provided the first major White House update on the month-old U.S.-Israeli war against Iran under Operation Epic Fury, following Iranian missile barrages on Israel and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global oil chokepoint. Announced days earlier amid oil prices spiking above $100 per barrel and Trump's denied claim of an Iranian ceasefire request, the speech shaped trader consensus on escalation risks versus de-escalation signals. Trump stated core objectives are nearing completion with possible U.S. withdrawal in 2-3 weeks, but vowed "extremely hard" airstrikes on Iranian energy infrastructure if the Strait stays blocked, calling on allies to reopen it. No immediate follow-up events scheduled, though congressional funding votes loom on related security operations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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