Texas's 13th Congressional District, a reliably Republican stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+24, drives trader consensus at 91% for the Republican Party in the House election winner market, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's dominant 2022 victory margin of 73% and his unchallenged primary win in March. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days, including no new polling, campaign shakeups, or national momentum shifts favoring Democrats, leaving the race low-profile ahead of the November 5 general election. While commanding, the odds could shift via late-breaking scandals, legal challenges to Jackson, a massive Democratic turnout surge in this Panhandle district, or unforeseen health issues, though historical base rates for such safe seats favor continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于共和党
91%
民主党
9%
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 13th Congressional District, a reliably Republican stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+24, drives trader consensus at 91% for the Republican Party in the House election winner market, bolstered by incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's dominant 2022 victory margin of 73% and his unchallenged primary win in March. No significant developments have emerged in the past 30 days, including no new polling, campaign shakeups, or national momentum shifts favoring Democrats, leaving the race low-profile ahead of the November 5 general election. While commanding, the odds could shift via late-breaking scandals, legal challenges to Jackson, a massive Democratic turnout surge in this Panhandle district, or unforeseen health issues, though historical base rates for such safe seats favor continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题