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Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日就任刚果民主共和国总统?

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Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日就任刚果民主共和国总统?

10% 概率
Polymarket
最新

10% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors Félix Tshisekedi remaining Democratic Republic of Congo president through 2026, reflecting his secure second term until the December 16, 2028, presidential election amid no snap polls, constitutional changes, or verified removal threats.** Recent diplomacy underscores stability: Tshisekedi concluded a working visit to Doha on April 2, 2026, meeting Qatar's Amir to discuss regional developments, shortly after Rwanda's Paul Kagame reiterated defensive measures against eastern DRC incursions on April 3. Persistent M23 rebel advances and stalled voter registration signal 2028 election risks, but absent coups, health crises, scandals, or no-confidence votes, incumbency endures—historical patterns show entrenched leaders weather conflicts without early ouster. Upcoming peace talks or escalation could shift odds, though low probability persists.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,135
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors Félix Tshisekedi remaining Democratic Republic of Congo president through 2026, reflecting his secure second term until the December 16, 2028, presidential election amid no snap polls, constitutional changes, or verified removal threats.** Recent diplomacy underscores stability: Tshisekedi concluded a working visit to Doha on April 2, 2026, meeting Qatar's Amir to discuss regional developments, shortly after Rwanda's Paul Kagame reiterated defensive measures against eastern DRC incursions on April 3. Persistent M23 rebel advances and stalled voter registration signal 2028 election risks, but absent coups, health crises, scandals, or no-confidence votes, incumbency endures—historical patterns show entrenched leaders weather conflicts without early ouster. Upcoming peace talks or escalation could shift odds, though low probability persists.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,135
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 4:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日就任刚果民主共和国总统?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年12月31日前,齐塞克迪会卸任刚果(金)总统吗?",概率为 10%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 10¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 10%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日就任刚果民主共和国总统?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Dec 12, 2025上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日就任刚果民主共和国总统?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日就任刚果民主共和国总统?"的当前领先者是"2026年12月31日前,齐塞克迪会卸任刚果(金)总统吗?",概率为 10%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 10%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Tshisekedi在2026年12月31日就任刚果民主共和国总统?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。