$281,583 交易量
$281,583 交易量
Sep 6, 2024
$281,583 交易量
$281,583 交易量
Sep 6, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is more likely to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election than Donald Trump according to the Silver Bulletin for any date between August 30 and September 6, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the September 6 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Kamala Harris with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Donald Trump.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is more likely to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election than Donald Trump according to the Silver Bulletin for any date between August 30 and September 6, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the September 6 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Kamala Harris with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Donald Trump.
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the September 6 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Kamala Harris with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Donald Trump.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2024, 4:03 PM ET
交易量
$281,583结束日期
Sep 6, 2024市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2024, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is more likely to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election than Donald Trump according to the Silver Bulletin for any date between August 30 and September 6, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the September 6 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Kamala Harris with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Donald Trump.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is more likely to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election than Donald Trump according to the Silver Bulletin for any date between August 30 and September 6, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the September 6 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Kamala Harris with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Donald Trump.
This market will resolve as soon as a flip occurs, or otherwise once figures are available for every date within this market's range.
If there are updates to previous figures before the release of the last figure it will count for this market. However, any updates after the release of the September 6 figures will not be considered.
The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.
Note: Ties will not qualify as a flip. The model must show Kamala Harris with a greater probability of winning the electoral college than Donald Trump.
交易量
$281,583结束日期
Sep 6, 2024市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2024, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No

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